April 27, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sunny Skies | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Soldier Girl | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baytown Princess | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Country Sway | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Genuwine | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mamasita | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhonda’s Girl | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | American Alphabet | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lullingstone | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wayward Kitten | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Wizard | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patrick’s Day | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunter O’Riley | 0.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | West Village | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dothat Dance | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scorch | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Mitcho | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Yooou Den | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ritzy Lass | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Gingermore | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Bluegrass Special | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vanilla Score | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dustem Carolina | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Cool | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Assertive | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | La Manta Gris | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indigirka | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ettalusive | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Plein Air | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Egg Roll | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jaunt | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Game Factor | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Spearette | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Stellaire | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Another Gal | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pampered Vow | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Get Foxy | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Holiday (ARG) | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tapizar’s Magic | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Temple of Grace | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Nootka Sound | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frozen Lucy | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Baytown Juliet | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Therighttobeararms | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Orbolution | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bridal Shower | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | C J S Suzie Byu | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rose of Ekita | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Roman Around | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bealestreet Dancer | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manitoulin | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muhaawer | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Downey | 50.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galileo’s Spear (FR) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sixty Five (FR) | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cite | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Humor | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honovi | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seine River | 50.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Nelson’s El Camino | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rhythm Park | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Favorite Coach | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Manhattan Mischief | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stan’s Old Habits | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hollywood Talent | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fourth of July | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mutazen | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paddy Not Patty | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nessy | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Producer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mucho Macho Bets | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Southern Wild | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Awesome Thought | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Brucarita | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trinitas Soldier | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alpha Bravo | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Krenz | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wissam | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kitten for Granny | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luther D | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Leopard | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nseventeen | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heartifix | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yates Runingwild | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Henningsen | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hundred Across | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.