April 26, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Double Ours | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildwood Dancer | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Asset | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Pacific | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whyruawesome | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Mugrosito | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pete Marwick | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Jersey Town Cat | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Direct Dial | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day of Reckoning | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Gritter Man | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tememon | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bat | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Freekson | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peekacho | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Custom Infinity | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Momma’s Gift | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rhodium | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ultra Arumba (BRZ) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mango’s Muse | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Am Miss Brown | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snuggle Struggle | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delusional K K | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotit Todo | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nootka Sound | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Kowboy Posse | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tigerbeach | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sky Promise | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Copper Bullet | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Country Sway | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Two Grand | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Salmanazar | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reaganize | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | I’m Corfu | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Artegon | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Madeye | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fire for Effect | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Avie’s Mesa | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caustic | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Makarios | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dahog | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nickle Plated | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Channel Maker | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Bonus | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | High Multiple | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spanish Squeeze (IRE) | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dragunov | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smart Question | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oriental Crown | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elitch | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Krewe Chief | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Cheers to Us | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Silverdollardreams | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | McHenry | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | L T’s Best Tale | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Dunk a Din | 3.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Memorial Blue | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Eiteljorg | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | El Bonito | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Heliodoro | 6.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yes Mon | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Gorgeous Kitten | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Young American | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Giant Payday | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Soglio | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dontblamerocket | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Don’t Split Tens | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Untimed Play | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 10 | Harlons Commision | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Overhold | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | There’syourtrouble | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Karmic Destiny | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Reallyareyakiddin | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Truly Brilliant | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Bernardina | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Love Me in Malibu | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Marnie Star | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Norwegian Lady | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Lyons Bay Vista | 4.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Like a Haint | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Baby Slew | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Dial M for Mugs | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Queen Mary J | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Kitty Express | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.