April 23, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chelios | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Motown Sound | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Sided | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charitable | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Discovery | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tug of War | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Cody’s Notes | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Trader | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Black Tide | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Runner | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Maurice | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nominal Dollars | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Smokey Brown | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shagaf | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Economic Model | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dolphus | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splashtastic | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Memories Of Silver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fifty Five | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynatail | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Team of Teams | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party Boat | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Art Institute | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirstforthecup | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Super Marina | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | No Lunks | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Mint Star | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | New York Bourbon | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Common Denominator | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Desert Affair | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Negev | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flatterfly | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bluegrass Hip Hop | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Redneck Gold | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quasney’s Angel | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 8 | Ditch Em | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wink At Me | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Ekati Cat | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cape Ann | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cats Halo | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Our Whim | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | If You Believe | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Is My Hero | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Alabama Bound | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Amazing Anne | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Baronet | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Pop Singer | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Puparee | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Queen of Castle | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Khaleesi Kat | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Catcher in the Sky | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Saratiago | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Jennifer’s Legacy | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mission Leader | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duquesne Whistle | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Gold for the King | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jaime’s Angel | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bavaro | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reason to Soar | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | T Loves a Fight | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Syndicate | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Patience Love | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Citizen by Day | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Final Flurry | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Lion in Wait | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Gravy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Long Island Lady | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mama’s Red Hat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Schmiss | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.