April 22, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zuri Chop (FR) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boone Docks | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Success Rate | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guggenheim | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Labour (ARG) | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Rob | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rangi (GB) | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | W. Giles | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stoneys Mr Cruiser | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Native Treasure | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jes Jaa | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildfire Kid | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bliss | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Goliath’s Girl | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smil’n From Above | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warrensdollarsigns | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quinnette | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gianis | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sooner Time | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stately Command | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – San Juan Capistrano S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Inordinate | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Syntax (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Foot | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papacoolpapacool | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runasaurus Rex | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Generoso (URU) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Passed by Paul | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kenzou’s Empire | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mind Reader | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Excavation | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wilbon | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wheresthemoneyjack | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | This’s How We Roll | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hill Croome | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blow My Mind | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lucky Lucciana | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Calibraska | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tribal Jewel | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Indygo Holiday | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uninvited | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ain’t Misbehavin | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kristi’s Copilot | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tough It Out | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Curlin Road | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Action Hero | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Oso | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Geologist | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Incredible Luck | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Accreditation | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bottle Service | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’d Be Sad an Blue | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Warren’s Fandango | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marckie’s Water | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highlight Show | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seeking Bea | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Schwarzenegger | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Californian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Texas Ryano | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Collected | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cupid | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Follow Me Crev | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prospect Park | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prime Attraction | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Mizdirection S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Paquita Coqueta (CHI) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Steel | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Swift Lady | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watch This Cat | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coppa | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Riri | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smoove It | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coniah | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Pic | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Do the Dance | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Leading Score | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Acker | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miner’s Light | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Colonial Power | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Lightning | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bird Orr Brady | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Braddock | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liberation | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Chrome | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfection Tale | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Towards the Light | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz the Ticket | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taste’s Legend | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wonderoveryonder | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.