April 22, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Kowboy King | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Wildcat | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yo Soy El Lobo | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Cat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Progress | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Greek God | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Behzad’s Pride | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Great Smoke | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | All Out of Aces | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iredell | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vilma | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brute Force | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Three Beans | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abercorn | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Story Spinner | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Chief Tarhe | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Not in Charge | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big City Blues | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acoustic | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eyeing Victory | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major Metro | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Threeohtwocassie | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Clay Road | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Collination | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Games | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Handsome Boy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Weber City Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jenda’s Agenda | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Star Super | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lights of Medina | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forever Liesl | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frank’s Folly | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Love You Back | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Queeb | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Six Tonsafun | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Curls | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Picnic Party | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bonnie K | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Airlie’s Diamond | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Choice Prospect | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mini Donation | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bank of Stars | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Self Determination | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Michelle | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sligo Jane | 5.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tzi Pink Freud | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neetee Rides Again | 6.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Tac Up | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Primonetta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sweet On Smokey | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stormy Sky | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bodacious Babe | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Next Best Thing | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appealing Maggie | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Absatootly | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lovable Lady | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Decoratedwithstyle | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maziette | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Federico Tesio S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Tom | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carradine | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O Dionysus | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Action Everyday | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hashtag Alex | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dahlia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cambodia | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sky My Sky | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Seeking Treasure | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Love Came to Town | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Danilovna (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | All in Fun | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Singmealovesong | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Smile | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Caroline | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tela | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catcha Rising Star | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Elephant | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | West Coast Bias | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 13 | Tell Me More | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 15 | Kept | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Radiant Element | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | I’m So Munny | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Adage | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Isoclone | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Prevailing Party | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Voices Only | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 16 | Give Me Some Candy | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Honor and Blessing | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | We Hap Now | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lady Violet M | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Whenallelsefails | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosetta Red | 12.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 14 | Downtown Mama | 4.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Henry S. Clark S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Rose Brier | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top of Mind | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Talk Show Man | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xmas Sky | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Ghost Hunter | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Synchrony | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Strait | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ascend | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Postulation | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Marengo Road | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heiko | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Bard | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silent Waters | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Workerbee | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Kay War | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Race and Shine | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Max’s Warrior | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | William’sluckygray | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Looks Like Sis | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Angel of Love | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Gethot Stayhot | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Vale Ridge | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 5 | Secret Temple | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cursive | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Enigma | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Unspoken | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Shifra Magician | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sheyn Vi Di Levone | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.