April 22, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Summer Motion |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
The Game Lover |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Easy Breesy |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Vics Classic |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Jw First Mark |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lb Cutie Cash |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Haydens Ransom |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Hesa First Native |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Royal Quick Patriot |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Big Daddy Bux |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Srf Lil Beduino |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Toasted Runaway |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Zoomin for Alex |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Igotmychromeon |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rogue to Riches |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fire On Ease |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Fired Up Perry |
1.60 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Leave the Corona |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Jess Coming in Hot |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ribbons Prize |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Blue War Princess |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Sketchy |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Red Stem |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Country Hot Doggin |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sheza Double Jess |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Moon Dash Cartel |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Flattering Pat |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
The Blue Queen |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Fortune Tree |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Capitan Jimbob |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ahs Flo Rida |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Jr Dashin Jordan |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Independence B |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
A Regal Shake |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Panther On the Beach |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Textron |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Aguila |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Tm Lota Loot |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
American Dinero |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Run Honi Run |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Salados Man |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Finally High |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ls Blue Cat |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Pycs Crock of Cash |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ms Lost Moonflash |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
The Cartel Warrior |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Glimpse de Jolla |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Miz Cosmo |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Heuer |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Fast Black Secret |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Five Perry Girls |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dezignator |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tres Seis Flare |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Washita Lauren |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Desire Astoli |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
My First Real Cartel |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sheza Speedracer |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Executiverockette |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Rmr Wide Open |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Classy Seis |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
First Girl Ever |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Executive Teller |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Shesnotasweetkrash |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Emnent |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dont Temp Me |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Eye Am Sizzlin |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sr Shambles |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Foose Me Once |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mr On the Run |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ja Jess Flyin Free |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sixes Flash |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lees Dasher |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Patriotsastreakin |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Pilototechick |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Old Time Feeling |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Banging With Stoli |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sir Flash and Dash |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
No Key Needed |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Magic Piloto Man |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fish in the Vodka |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Runaway Easy Sir |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ttt El Timbre |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Open Me A Corona
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Heza Louisiana Dash |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cute Mic Jagger |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Louisiana Legends |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Times a Tickin |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Jes a Fast Dasher |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Won Cc |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Jethro Almitey |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Zoominforgrady |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
The Real Deel |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Straw Bux |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Miss Dollar Bet |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ldn Perrys Dalaw |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Jls Shakem Tee Cos |
1.20 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Royal Jet Patriot |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Heza Fast Dilly |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Toast to Logan |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Msm Runaway Dash |
3.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Mps Bayou Buccaneer |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.