April 21, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot Cross Buns | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Christy | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coca Inn | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indiantown Sunrise | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkles’ Girl | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Emerald | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | San Nicola Breeze | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reliably Royal | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glib Marylin | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Pal Katherine | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apache Gal | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bella Figura | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Retreat | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maritimeconnection | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Tribes | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First to Go | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broken Meadow | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dare to Bear | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Schloss Schneeberg | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silken Thomas | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Challenger | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scarlet Forester | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’s Double Eagle | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Best of the Bobs | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Me More | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Showing Sin | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Moon Doggie | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Nada | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Charlie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wickstead | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Between Drinks | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmies Truck | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Been Waiting | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roxy’s Brew | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Villageofvibank | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Click | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buongiorno Johnny | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bet On Jack | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devoted Wildcat | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scotty’s Ego | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ezzthetic | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Letter Fly | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Patsy’s Star | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Audacious Bear | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Step Flor | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Generous Consort | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Geocentric | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Old Valyria | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unseen Angels | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady of Moray | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Courtly Manner | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Romance | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tale of Ronin | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Circle of Friends | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Dan | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Jimmie | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock You | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spring Edition | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Above All Odds | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City Boy | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.