April 21, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucky J Lane | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’malreadythere | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Bronco | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silent Movies | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | County Lineman | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dynamic Scoring | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mexican Groove | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On Draft | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tribal Tribute | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Out of Patience | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colour Me Happy (GB) | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Te Rapa | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She Rules You | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madera Jubilee | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canned Heat | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shady Summertime | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Movin On | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sapodilla | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seaquet | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Avaudrey | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yoked | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot Paris Night | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kiss Limit | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fancy Shoes | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunslinger | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Antinanco | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Rumble | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Call Saul | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louden’s Gray | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal F J | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bolitar | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Finallygotabentley | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ajac | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last One Standing | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Conquest Sabre Cat | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Force (IRE) | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Burnaroundtheedges | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | French Getaway | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chewy Round Town (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Klondike Creek | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prince of Arabia | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Dude | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Orion’s Belt | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full of Hope | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trappe the Moment | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dare to Believe | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ferguson | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Sagittari | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sensational Sea | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yodelsong | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Strawberry Dee | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Tangled Up in Ju | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Zuzu’s Petals | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Who Said Lucky | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kennedie Sky | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Swissarella | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | My Palmilla | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mizzen Glory | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Upfront | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tanda’s Joy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tammy’s Window | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cho Has Zip | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Chocolate Coated | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Incident | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Te Amo Mamo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Kitty | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Aussie Rock Star (IRE) | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Ladysgotitall | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kenda | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Perfection | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ragazza Di Vola | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Night Launch | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.