April 21, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Queenofthechannel | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Lillie’s Answer | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bareeqa | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Loyal Heart | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fahan Mura | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Jemmabelle | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 0.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Indygita | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rahy’s Bandit | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Posse | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Pebble | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Term Max | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Megan’s Muse | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over My Head | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thirtysevenliveson | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Seethisquick | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shamcat | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Trek | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Bigboldbok | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Wingman | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Markitoff | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Kentucky Chrome | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 5 | Tizno | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lordcommandersnow | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Karma | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redneck Margarita | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Illusion | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Condo King | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Auburn Avenue | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Entiendo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Hitter | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girollo | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Uncle Sigh | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mountain Music Man | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Harbor King | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zabaione | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Cloud Control | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rooftop View | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Becker’s Galaxy | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | The Crocheron Kid | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | The J Y | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Shot | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Powerful Instinct | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lyrical Miracle | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Do Share | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Bond Vigilante | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Market Sentiment | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Ekhlaas | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Gypsum Johnny | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alright Alright | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tiz a Kitten | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Addictive | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bonita Springs | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Rare Rose | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Out of Trouble | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Each Way | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Stay Safe Kitten | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Archumybaby | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Courtly Kitty | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridledadventure | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Cha Cha Heels | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thirtydaysinjune | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parting Shot | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Causeway Cutie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Katherina | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tannery Row | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Communion Money | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Sariah | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Poochie Loo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.