April 20, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Soil | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormfield | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unmiztaken Legend | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jemrose | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Gig Gee | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maleficent Queen | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Prize | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Ultima D | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Anna Kate | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Buy Sell Hold | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Classy Music | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dialin | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Screamin Dixie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Vida Leva Eu | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Pow Pow | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Candy Lou | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kitzys Rocket | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Niigon’s Eclipse | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Havana Dream | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shaan (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Puca | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hone In | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Little Lila | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Princess Princess | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | You Cheated | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She Stays Rollin | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Morgan’s David | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz B B N | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | True Dream | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sun Dress | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chelada | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brittany’s Beauty | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waki Patriot | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tapit At Ann | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cure the Thirst | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Keep Talking | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Rapa Iti | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Mon | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Comic | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Forty Seven | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Transatlantic Kiss | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Obvious | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ancient Warfare | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bound for Nowhere | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kiss the Toad | 3.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dawn Raider | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Caribou Club | 5.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oso Ready | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On the Lam | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kidnap | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fifth Title | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | One River Place | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Upstage | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vandelay | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Faction Cat | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northern | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coal Front | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Class Won | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American Ride | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scatter Gun | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crooked Stick | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Insta Erma | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Babayaga | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fleet Bertie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Majestique | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Queen Caroline | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theophilia | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rachel Wall | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queenofthepalace (NZ) | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lira | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pablo Del Monte | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Vo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Circle Unbroken | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mellow Fellow | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malbec | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ray’swarrior | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuhrious Warrior | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Youngest Daughter | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Suburb | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamic War | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cha Cha Magic | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | La Manta Gris | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Indigirka | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | How (IRE) | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourgeois | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pounds to Pennies | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kahrumana | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Tatum | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ladies’ Privilege | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Fox | 50.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Breanna | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Temple of Grace | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.