April 20, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Desert Duchess | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maple Mo | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Had Enough | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer of Joy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Woundwithhereyes | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wonderful Savvy | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curiousncuriouser | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Short Kakes | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tasunke Witco | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marble Falls | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bug Juice | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point Hope | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monster Mash | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Walk and Talk | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Magnanimus Man | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rudy’s Boy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stick Shaker | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Analyze the Odds | 1.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Monster | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surprise Wonder | 1.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Comet Sixty Two | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lightning Lilly | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Nisharora (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flick of an Eye | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Rockin Alli | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shakesperian Dream | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Resilient One | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Literata | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Roman Reign | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maria Got Even | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | One Penny Piece (GB) | 2.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | La Inesperada | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mo Focused | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dublin My Money | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cournoyer | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Right Ben | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Luzinski | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Donald Problem | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Hook Express | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nut Nut | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spicy Sider | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Otto | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Louie | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Compagno | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bunyaan | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Snow Fighter | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble and True | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dogtown | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Nominal Dollars | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Overnegotiate | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tiznow’s Smile | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Satin Sheets | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Groton St Scout | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bertranda | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Tainted Angel | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Zealous Scholar | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | On the Fringe | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Play Big | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Sir Temple City | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Thirsty Actor | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Put the Boss Back | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prost | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Happygetlucky | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wonderman | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Correjon | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Sound of the Tap | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Joywave | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dublin Express | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jed Tennessee | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | T R Royal | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.