April 19, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Shivoo | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bangle | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | One Last Cast | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Stream of Gold | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Analyzeyurspending | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Fair City Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Non Stop | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On Tap | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin the Bank | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grey Glory | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patton Proud | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fullfaithandcredit | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mollica | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wrong Ben | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hamptons Holiday | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Horoscope | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Terry O Geri | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girollo | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jonquil | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Relentless Miss | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Via Frattina | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Blondie Run | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Expect a Kitten | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Hot Betty | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemondrop Lollipop | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Twist ‘n Shout | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Princess | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shesmyheartandsoul | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salori’s Bank | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jetsam Six | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preziosa | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gobi | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Congaree Drive | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frostie Anne | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Star Rampage | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abounding Spirit | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Eighty Eight | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peaches and Spice | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | His Girl Friday | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Glory to Kitten | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Realistic | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Taken | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Battlement (GB) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | War Queen (IRE) | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bombshell | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Volatility Index | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bargaining Table | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smile Big | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maddizaskar | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Party Mint Star | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Offlee Good | 50.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Proud Lily | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Plain Jane | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Chiseler | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zeppole | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Verona Blue | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sapporo | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Catania Rose | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Double Mane | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | You Lucky Dog | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Malissa | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | With One Exception | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.