April 16, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Royal Katy |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dyna’s Mischief |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Itsinthestars |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Fresh Princess |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Beau’s Beauty |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Aciano |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Dan’s Revenge |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bold Summit |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Executive Five |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Bring On the Bull |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Bet On Jack |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Few White Hairs |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Dr. Harkness |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Our Gabrielle |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Alilaction |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Saveaplaceforme |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Extremist |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Two Brews to Go |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Modus Operandi |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Woven Lady |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Bel Ayr Bay |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Viva Forever |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Holy Plan |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Haveawonderfulday |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Citrus Storm |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Why Wait for Later |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sweet Rhapsody |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Glory of Estevan |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
D’s Benefaction |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Misty Spirit |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Teiaiagon |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bakersfield |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Silver Salsa |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ezee Biang |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Never Worn |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
One Way to Fame |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Ave Caesar |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Best Boy |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Ratface Macdougall |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Who’s Got It |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Waubaushene |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Awesome Five |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Into the Mystic |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Budding |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Front Nine |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
War Factory |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Jennifer Lynnette |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sweet Rose |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Real Coal |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Deep Blue Sea |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Luckbealady Now |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sweet Crimson |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Miss Forester |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sassy Ombre |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Star Shoot S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
R Naja |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Red Lodge |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Will She |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Gilded Lily |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sister Nation |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Crumlin Queen |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Goldrush Glory |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Ediberto |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Gordie Mac |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Jovial Jess |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
The Doctor |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
For U Ruth |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Victory L. |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ben Lomond |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lowi Vene |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Weepnwidow |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ariel’s Vision |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Big Time Nanny |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Thirteen Diamonds |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dance With Me Baby |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Spanish Trick |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Hazel Meadow |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
My Cantata |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Beezie |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Early Ringaling |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.