April 15, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Foolish to Deceive | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St. Reno | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dizzy Dancer | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zapana’s Game | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Taste | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Game | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redneck Crazy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kenjisstorm | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stringent | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pee Wee Reese | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Envoy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alfa Bird | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Champagne Charley (FR) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Basie Boots | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nazareth | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warren’s Super Cat | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forthenineteen | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Comealongwithme | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Los Angeles S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lord Simba | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eastwood | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kentuckian | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ike Walker | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Grazen Sky | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bourque | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | June Sixth | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cut | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sleepin N Cheatin | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Carpet Cat | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunner Grey | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gonzo | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hipper Hippie | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zeppo | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bitte | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gigantis | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Class Boy | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justonetimebaby | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hitters Park | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burn Me Twice | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Hoss | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Informality | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Pacific Heat | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Stylish in Black | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Dragon Fly (GB) | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sherry Cagan | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crimson and Gold | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucy De | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Could Be Magic | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ava Forty Seven | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Allowances (IRE) | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Award It | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Special Gal | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kylla Instinct (GB) | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Californium | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Waldorf | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Upperclassman | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dreams of Valor | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sutton Impact | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Malibu d’Oro | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Allaboutmike | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Parched | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Invasion Looming | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whiskey Ginger | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hill Croome | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ankeny Hill | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pat the Bear | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aikau | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curly Road | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | London Legacy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gunslinger | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Changing Karma | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moonlight Meeting | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moments Notiz | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Jack | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gosofar | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Salient | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Path of Exile | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tanners Pride | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Burnie’s On Board | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Hi Heat Boy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Watered Down | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Candy’s Martini | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Thermopolis | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unnamed Source | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Insubordination | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drum Roll Please | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patience Ofa Saint | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.