April 15, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stylish Quality | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Posse Needed | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knarsdale | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Helena | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ouro Verde | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Morning Daddy | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yummy Bear | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hob Nob | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Anthony | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Undercover Agent | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hangry | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carson’s Klondike | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Greenhouse Effect | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | See Me Coming | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gee’n Tee | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Buckwellspent | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Station Chief | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Il Fratello | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Metal Magic | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Monolo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tree Shaker | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Sight | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Make It Easy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Port More | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. McFrosty | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Jonas | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Samurai Warrior | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Encounter | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Massena | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Great Samurai | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Conquest Falcon | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Promise the Sky | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Exclusive Zip | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jegos Fire | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Psychic Energy | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | You Like That | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Kitt | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Clear Surprise | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Schout Bay | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tipit | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Augie’s Coming | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Maurice | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Can’tmakethisup | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Dan the Man | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | That Makes Sense | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Plenty Of Grace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bar of Gold | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Light In Paris (IRE) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Impression | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Sweet Girl | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mizz Money | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rattataptap | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bishop’s Pond | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | First Appeal | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tapceptional | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Fashiononthesurge | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Wild With Style | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 2 | Laurel Lane | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Tough Old Bird | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Jazzy Juder | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Tweet Street | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dreamy Margarita | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Splashy Rise | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Passel | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fielding Gold | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | War Bond | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Isofass | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Mascarello | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benny Big Boy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Nutzforboltz | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buddy’s Tiz | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Unexplained | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tricky Posse | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.