April 13, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Battle Tux | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eila | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Sonnet | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morea | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingston Terrace | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Very Humorous | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Bandit | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Brix | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arrecife | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fact Check | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Eddie E | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bodhi Dog | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m Steppin’ It Up | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rancho | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fletcher Is Golden | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madroos | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hy Quality Prince | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cocaptain | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Wind | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arty’sbourbongirl | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Or Love | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calling Me Home | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Competitive Player | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jamie’s Dancer | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Talitha Koum | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Milbra | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Atlantic Gusto | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Reina | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Modela | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Wonder | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Overdriven Cat | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gods Greatness | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizagoldenrocket | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Family Crest | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olimpico | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Paddy | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Danny | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jack of Diamonds | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cliffed | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twotimingdancer | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mistress Ofthedark | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Well Blessed | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mizzencat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liana Susquehanna | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fly Swift | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sylphide | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Christina | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Parasol | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Vendita | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Be Playful | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Murray’s Girl | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Teri’s Big Heart | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Imnaha | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Biamonte | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | R Limo Joe | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Let’s Go Ben | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bluegrass Luck | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dream Saturday | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Danbury | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Awesome Slate | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Visionary Ruler | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Colormepompom | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Focus On Me | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | He’s Cotton | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Proud Enough | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.