April 12, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goodtimehadbyall | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angel’s Sea | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Hannoun | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Kitten | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Pig | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheech Thunder | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wise Warrior | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luckisback | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Express | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wathnan | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nephew Howard D | 1.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Home Power | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wayward Kitten | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Made in Detroit | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Semblance of Order | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Azar | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Security | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quack Quack | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icy’s Surprise | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Chapeau | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Chance | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kabuki | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Edge | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Venezuelantreasure | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spunzig | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scrap the Mandate | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anothermouthtofeed | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roraima Dos | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faena | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soft and Silent | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proper Princess | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Antonella | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aquemini | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katinka | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiuna | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devilish Romance | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jermyn Street | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Moonlight | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bill’s Legacy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Factor | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Contractor Jak | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Pirate | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Axtell | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Je Ne Sais Pas | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xanto | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Quality | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | West of Eden | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runforthewoods | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Third Eye | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Threat | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hansen’s Girl | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fallen Leaf | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U. S. A. Jewel | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Astray | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Can’tcatchtheraxx | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Star Contender | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cut to Order | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jojo’s Dream | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Tay | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Metaphorically | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dancin in the Heat | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Chovanes | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Waronthehomefront | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Amberjack | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Warrior | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Not Today | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.