April 11, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Glosky |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Actively Engaged |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Thea’s Reign |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Karen’s Chianti |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Rodeo Drive Diva |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Cass’s Dovehunt |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Bad Scooter |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Kahraman Tye |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Magna Fortune |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Spartan Pride |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Successful Rose |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lil Neddy |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
U. Tee |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Zephyrs Bolt |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Turning the Table |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Too Much Desert |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Saratoga Angel |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
For Later |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Shift Change |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Dusty Street |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Chessen |
2.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Chocolate Smoothie |
1.60 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Lookin Up |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
On the Wall |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Hurricane Stouty |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Discreet Lightning |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Proudmiamicitizen |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Style Points |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Include the Family |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Absolute Twist |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Brazilian Symphony |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Glorious Moment |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sweet Corinna |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Silver Silence |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
True History |
1.40 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sweets Galore |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Richie’s Lady |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Racinginthestreet |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Love On Fire |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Little Alana |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Axe Capital |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Weekend Babe |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Deserted |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
House of Friends |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
The Schwam |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Smart and Tough |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
More Data |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Windcries |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Run Dixie Run |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Portent |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Bestbandever |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Moneyman |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Spirit Special |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Alex Again |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Hyka |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Chill Factor |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Runaway Mistress |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Glory Stars |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Oneballnostrikes |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Printer |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Ignite |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Warrior’s Dance |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Lagrats |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Stolen Victory |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Lily’s Peak |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Empress Caro |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
My Wild Gata |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Jar of Hearts |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Miss Motivation |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.