Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for April 11, 2017

April 11, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Glosky 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Actively Engaged 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Thea’s Reign 1.60 3.3 6-1
3 3 Karen’s Chianti 10.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
1 1 Rodeo Drive Diva 2.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Cass’s Dovehunt 3.50 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Bad Scooter 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Kahraman Tye 15.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Magna Fortune 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Spartan Pride 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Successful Rose 4.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Lil Neddy 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 U. Tee 5.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Zephyrs Bolt 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Turning the Table 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Too Much Desert 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Saratoga Angel 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 For Later 10.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
4 4 Shift Change 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Dusty Street 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Chessen 2.50 5.8 11-1
8 7 Chocolate Smoothie 1.60 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Lookin Up 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 On the Wall 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Hurricane Stouty 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Discreet Lightning 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Proudmiamicitizen 2.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Style Points 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Include the Family 4.00 6 11-1
8 8 Absolute Twist 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Brazilian Symphony 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Glorious Moment 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sweet Corinna 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Silver Silence 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 True History 1.40 4 8-1
5 5 Sweets Galore 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Richie’s Lady 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Racinginthestreet 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Love On Fire 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Little Alana 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Axe Capital 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Weekend Babe 4.00 6 11-1
7 7 Deserted 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 House of Friends 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 The Schwam 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Smart and Tough 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 More Data 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Windcries 4.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Run Dixie Run 5.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Portent 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Bestbandever 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Moneyman 12.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Spirit Special 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Alex Again 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Hyka 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Chill Factor 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Runaway Mistress 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Glory Stars 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Oneballnostrikes 2.50 6.3 12-1
4 4 Printer 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Ignite 3.00 1 2-1
9 8 Warrior’s Dance 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Lagrats 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Stolen Victory 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Lily’s Peak 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Empress Caro 10.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
3 2 My Wild Gata 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Jar of Hearts 4.50 6 11-1
6 5 Miss Motivation 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.