April 9, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Munny Spunt |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Irish Dame |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rcatcanscat |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Good N Naughty |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Very Hot |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rally Back |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Private Terrace |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Papaslilprincess |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Princess Tiznow |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Ipray |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sidepocket Run |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Sheswildnfree |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Blabimir |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Slasher |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
We Go Now |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Causa |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Who Cares |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tchula Sunset |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Meet At Jakes |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Nextdoorneighbor |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rough Passage |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tiz Jolie |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Limited Response |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Eddie’s Turn |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Broadway Nika |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Lil Lottie |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
My Mel Mar |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Bona Fide Image |
1.20 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Our Bright Star |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
American Rhiannon |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Just Be Held |
2.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lemon Ridge |
50.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dixie Crystal |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Haveiture Way |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rocketann |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sneak Play |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Proper Drink |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sarah Sunshine |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Justice Rules |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Yalla |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Miss Aurelius |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Sheeza Milky Way |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lily Kai |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Chaulk O Lattey |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sweet Charity (FR) |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Corps de Ballet |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Shehastheritestuff |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Salsita |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Betty Draper |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Carulli |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Adrosa Sky |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
True Ranger |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Vodka Texted You |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cherokee Dynasty |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Sivali |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dr. Crabby |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Big Energy |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Papa Al |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Santa Paula S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Selcourt |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Life’s Blessings |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mistressofthenight |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Charlatana |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Auntjenn |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Union Strike |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Chalon |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Goseecal |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lady Bellamy |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lady Preacher |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Red Shelby |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Causeforcommotion |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Zaffinah (IRE) |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Halo Ahead |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Diamonds Only |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
My Audubon |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Red Livy (IRE) |
4.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Trappiza |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Demigoddess |
50.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.