Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for April 9, 2017

April 9, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1A 5 Playthatfunnymusic 1.80 1 2-1
4 3 Station Chief 30.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Buckwellspent 1.80 3.5 7-1 Scr
2 1 Crowd Funding 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Driving Me Crazy 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Too Wild to Repent 2.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Dark Roast 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Southern Gentleman 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Honorable Jonas 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Native George 30.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Spotty Zealous 0.40 4 8-1
1 1 Girollo 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bear Clause 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Adulator 1.80 1.3 2-1
6 5 Governor Malibu 1.60 2.5 5-1
3 3 Furyofthenorsemen 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Jay’s Way 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Backsideofthemoon 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Gypsum Johnny 6.00 5.5 10-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 No Tanx Blue Chip 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 General Bellamy 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mister Monolo 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Big Al Parker 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 Tree Shaker 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Saratoga Sight 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Try Flying 4.00 6 11-1
2 2 Storm the Shore 10.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Distaff H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Clipthecouponannie 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Tale for Ruby 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Indulgent 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Highway Star 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Carrumba 1.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Kelsocait 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Bartleby 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Bobby Fab 10.00 3 6-1 Scr
11 10 Sicilia Mike 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Incorporate 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Blame the Thief 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Zonic 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Broken Engagement 3.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Hoboe 30.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 My Boy Tate 4.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 One Mo Chance 3.50 8 15-1
3 3 Wondermeister 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Polar Jet 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Margarita Sunrise 10.00 3 6-1
7 6 Mischievous Dan 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Ten Twenty Nine 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Valhalla 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Breeze Burner 3.00 5 9-1 Scr
4 4 Italian Syndicate 2.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Danger’s Hour S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Gold Shield 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Catapult 1.40 2 4-1
7 6 Eirigh 3.00 3 6-1
8 7 Edge of Reality 20.00 5 9-1
5 4 Il Segreto (FR) 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Greenpointcrusader 1.20 6.3 12-1 Scr
1 1 Cage Fighter 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Macagone 6.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Miss Sizzle 5.00 1.8 3-1
11 9 My Girl Annie 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Driven by Speed 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 8 Might Be 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Wanna Be Regal 20.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
6 6 Barbie On a Budget 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Lucky Bug 4.00 8 15-1
9 7 Frost Wise 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Holiday Disguise 6.00 8 15-1
5 5 Belle of the Spa 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Tizza Temper 12.00 9.8 18-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.