April 8, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seethisquick | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucullan | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mineralogy | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romanologist | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Britain | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Myakka River | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ollysilverexpress | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Tricked Up | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 6 | Nigel’s Destiny | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Puissant (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Sandman | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Brimstone | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fearless Dragon | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Pretentious | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Conquest Expresso | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Runaway Posse | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Birchwood Road | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 11 | Spin Cycle | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Vincento | 1.80 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Moon Over a Beauty | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Speightstown Time | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drop Shot | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bancroft Hall | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Interventio | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild About Deb | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | May Be a Diamond | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 6 | Outplay | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 3 | Our Cousin Dick | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Siem Riep | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Pollock | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 2 | Strong Side | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patrick’s Harp | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Crime Lab | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Focus Group | 2.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 1 | Cerise’s Prince | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Admirals Cove | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 5 | Archimedes | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Holland Road | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shidoshi | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Praetereo | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready Dancer | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indycott | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marriage Fever | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tasunke Witco | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Upstart | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paid Admission | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Bay Shore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Long Haul Bay | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theory | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caledonian | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | You’re to Blame | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miggsy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Even Thunder | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Royal Ekati | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Empire | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Irish | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T Loves a Fight | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ransom Note | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Voodoo Song | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Benevolence | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause for Surprise | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toohottoevenspeak | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Formal Start | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Excelsior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Send It In | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Lover | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hereditary | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Admiral Blue | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellamy Way | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tu Brutus (CHI) | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doyouknowsomething | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Carter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Unified | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Banner | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tommy Macho | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocean Knight | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Kranz | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Green Gratto | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spartiatis | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Star Red | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassicaia | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Wood Memorial S. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cloud Computing | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battalion Runner | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish War Cry | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bonus Points | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Timber | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Town | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stretch’s Stone | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glennrichment | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Gazelle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Sky Warrior | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | North End | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full House | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Rae Anna | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lockdown | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rimanisempreforte | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stay Fond | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yorkiepoo Princess | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aspen Hilltop | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Altesino | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Build to Suit | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | Guick | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pirate’s Treasure | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Super Luke | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | St. Patrick Frost | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Uncle Tbone | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money Laundering | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Engagement | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Dublin Green | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Carthon | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.