April 7, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Just Be Frank | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kowboy Posse | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 6 | Baytown Lex | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mugrosito | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Fairyland | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Kitty Kat Kate | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2B | 11 | Jersey Town Cat | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 8 | Rhyder Time | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4D | 11 | Bullet Bandit | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3C | 10 | Taurus C | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | I’m Corfu | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Figjam | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Waki Patriot | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Kentucky Chromless | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rhodium | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Annoy | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kate N Abs Reward | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blonde in the City | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | National Girl | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Princess | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Color Me Blush | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Money Flows | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | December Seven | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear the Mine | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Egyptian | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crewman | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rated R Superstar | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whole Lotta Luck | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer O Fiftyfour | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starinthemaking | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wissam | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gladtobehere | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barry’s Swing | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roustabout | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hardly Seen Slim | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Delusional K K | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secondhand Justice | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ginger Stone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Kit | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gallant Lady | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Dinah | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lovethislife | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Extraordinary | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scout It Out | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Venetian | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tap of War | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Enstone | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Folk Magic | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valentine Wish | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joust | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Summertime Sky | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sky Flower | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Coco Channel | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Chubby Star | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danceland | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Enchanting Kitten | 4.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Grateful | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Sweeping Paddy | 5.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Talaaqy | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lipstick City | 5.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Savannah Belle | 30.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Tweeting | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | True Boots | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ettalusive | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noelle’s Mischief | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Swat | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Eyes | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pauline Revere | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Adele | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fairybrook | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Defy | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Another Gal | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Innocent | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Shoyoya | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Classic | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Town Classic | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forge Ahead Franki | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mutaraamy | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin for a Kiss | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Favorite Coach | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mexico Memories | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Midnight | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mooose | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Transylvania S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sonic Boom | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Score | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dahog | 50.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Cowboy Culture | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ticonderoga | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Profiteer | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oscar Performance | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makarios | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Holiday Stone | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Kirby’s Penny | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Okbyecya | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tengey | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heartbreak Hill | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Coco | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bayshore Drive | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stella Nova | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Blue Arrow | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Score Babe | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Just a Nip | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wind Cheater | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carmela | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soso | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.