April 7, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arch Or Nothing | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hold On Momma | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Storm Petrel | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quasney’s Angel | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Madam Aamoura | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milaya | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Samadi Sky | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Riff Raff | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Spooked Out | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | We Did | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic Chaos | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Bet | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Northern Screamer | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stroke Play | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kate Is a Ten | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Renegade | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ducasa | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can Can Babe | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Won Love | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Readyheartandsoul | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | H Man | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taoiseach | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curious Cal | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pegasus Red | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chosen One Elijah | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Bounty | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abounding Spirit | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perina’s Pride | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glotona Again | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spa Town Parade | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mastic | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loyal Heart | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Metaurus | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Are We Not Men | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Banner Bill | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Catmancan | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skill Not Luck | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | To the Victor | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mighty One | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Your Secret’s Safe | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Seat of Honor | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Donwell | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romanus | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Into the Breach | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | California Swing | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Spring On Curlin | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ollysilverexpress | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hot City Girl | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Absatootly | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Me a Memory | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flatterywillgetyou | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Majesty | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Sassy Affair | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Judgement Free | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anna Theresa | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lynnie B | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Catania Rose | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Flatterfly | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Anna Liffey | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Scatter Point | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Meadowbrook | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ben and Jiggy’s | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Empossebility | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Utopian Flag | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.