April 6, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deed to the Bank | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Katherina | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Showing | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Affair | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Dama de Hierro | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J C My Way | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Discreet | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chelios | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | You Know I Know | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Monster Mash | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ganador | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Zealous | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | John’s Island | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dettifoss | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Novique | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Play Unified | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jules N Rome | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Browse | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Maria Got Even | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Hey Lady | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Downtown At Noon | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Two Nancy’s | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tequila Sunday | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Majestic Mac | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Decorator Jenn | 1.20 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Island Lady | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mood Swing | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Causeway Cutie | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Parting Shot | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Nauti Belle | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Put On a Show | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mama’s Red Hat | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Late Night Kiss | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Communion Money | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valiant Spirit | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Canada | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bambisfrostyracer | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charitable | 50.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Best Play | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Glass | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Point Hope | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Picozza | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C J’s Awesome | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nevisian Sky | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Super Psyche | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Wine Not | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swivel | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Two Down One to Go | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Prophet’s Cat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Ro Bear | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Third Son | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Timeline | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Win With Pride | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Devine Dental | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Everybodyluvsrudy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Thirst for Victory | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Paris Moon | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Two Term Max | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Pray for Us | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Our Whim | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Emily’s Smile | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Impazible Angela | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Persky’s Spirit | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Esther the Queen | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Redneck Gold | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Chocolate Smoothie | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ocean Conquest | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | She Is My Hero | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.