April 1, 2017 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Arctic Music |
0.00 |
0.8 |
1-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sanilac |
0.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Firstrate Proposal |
0.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Queenerella |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Simply Great |
0.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Southern Munny |
0.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ulm |
0.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Chasenthisdream |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Alltheleavesrbrown |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Carlos Dangerous |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Knight of Dreams |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Harmonic |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Magic of Believing |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Cat’s Destiny |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
The Third Ace |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Iver With an E |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Indy Awesome |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
O T B Bob |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
He Is a Roadster |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Strong Yen |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hot Item |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Altito |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Glorious Summer |
50.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Teletap |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Big Dinner |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Magician Man |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Conquest Archie |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Curmit |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8 |
15-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
8 |
Yooou Den |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1A |
13 |
Gingermore |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Lou |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Icy Dawn |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Elegant Model |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
You Vow Me |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Awesome Look |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Je Suis Belle |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Street Thunder |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Scatin Around |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Secret Trick |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Flashy Ruthie |
12.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Fab Fox |
20.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
1 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
The Pickett Factor |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Way Striking |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rocket Time |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
6-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Smack Smack |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Solve |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Neck ‘n Neck |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
13.3 |
25-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
13.5 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Gordy Florida |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Blaze’n Prospector |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Sightforsoreeyes |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Counterforce |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Whateverybodywants |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Manhattan Mischief |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Pulling G’s |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Medal of Courage |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8 |
15-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
8 |
Stormy Pacific |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Operation Stevie |
15.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Modern Medicine |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
21-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
1 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Matuszak |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mr. Ticker Talker |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Far Out Kailee |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Glitnir |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Swarm |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Private Prospect |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Big Taco |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Royal Lion |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Future Express |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Valeski |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
12.8 |
24-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
13 |
25-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
15 |
28-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Visionary Tale |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Smokin M’konahay |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Hot Shot Kid |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Zanchos Heart |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ekati’s Gem |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Neon Gator |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Daringly Bold |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lawton |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Headliner |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Rainbow Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Ministry |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Dutch Parrot |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Ms Fifty First St. |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tedders Angel |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Superstar Bea |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
9-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dixie Flyer |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Premonition Creek |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Numancia |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
8 |
15-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
17-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
|
|
|
|
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Oater |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Steamroller |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Sing Him a Song |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Water Into Wine |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
11-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Funny Questions |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Monday Confession |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bad Buck |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Greeleys Copy |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Arch Flash |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Chilling Secret |
4.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Reverend Sam |
10.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.