April 1, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Encryption | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We’re All Set | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 6-1 | |||||
| 3.8 | 7-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Mylute | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 8 | 8 | Dream Saturday | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4.8 | 9-1 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Now | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 9-1 | |||||
| 4 | 4 | He’s Got Talent | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6.5 | 12-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | Heckuvashot | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Griff | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Weekend Hideaway | 1.40 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 13-1 | |||||
| 9.3 | 17-1 | |||||
| 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1.8 | 3-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | Elloree Gal | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2.8 | 5-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Bella Sunrise | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Honey | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 8-1 | |||||
| 11 | 11 | Koukla Mou | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lancaster | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5.8 | 11-1 | |||||
| 5.8 | 11-1 | |||||
| 7 | 7 | Monterey Marianne | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bar Libre (IRE) | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rollin Rose | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7.5 | 14-1 | |||||
| 7.8 | 15-1 | |||||
| 9 | 17-1 | |||||
| 10 | 10 | Taco Wayne’s Shot | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9.3 | 17-1 | |||||
| 9 | 9 | Authentic Kitten | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ocean Sunrise | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lover’s Key | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Shere Khan | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1.8 | 3-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | Over the Limit | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Steppin’ It Up | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Capital City | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amace | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boyfriend’s Back | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 11-1 | |||||
| 7 | 13-1 | |||||
| 8 | 8 | Starship Apache | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real Steel | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7.5 | 14-1 | |||||
| 11 | 11 | Cold Blood | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Awesome | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8.5 | 16-1 | |||||
| 9 | 9 | Crazy Frank C | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Appleton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Siding Spring | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Delta Prince | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2.8 | 5-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Our Way | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Included | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 8-1 | |||||
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 4.5 | 9-1 | |||||
| 4 | 4 | My Point Exactly | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Bachelor | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 11-1 | |||||
| 6 | 11-1 | |||||
| 6.3 | 12-1 | |||||
| 6.5 | 12-1 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | Market Outlook | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8.5 | 16-1 | |||||
| 8.8 | 17-1 | |||||
| 9 | 17-1 | |||||
| 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Orchid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Olorda (GER) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Temple Fur | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summersault | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3.5 | 7-1 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Kitten | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 4 | 4 | Maquette | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4.8 | 9-1 | |||||
| 5 | 9-1 | |||||
| 5.3 | 10-1 | |||||
| 7 | 13-1 | |||||
| 7 | 13-1 | |||||
| 8.8 | 17-1 | |||||
| 9 | 17-1 | |||||
| 10.8 | 20-1 | |||||
| 11.5 | 22-1 | |||||
| 13.3 | 25-1 | |||||
| 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | 3-1 | |||||
| 10 | 10 | Meantime | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 4-1 | |||||
| 4 | 4 | Truly a Moon Shot | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fayeq | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Heart | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 11 | 11 | Archway Road | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5.3 | 10-1 | |||||
| 5.5 | 10-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Portal | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6.8 | 13-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | Caviar Czar (IRE) | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 13-1 | |||||
| 7.5 | 14-1 | |||||
| 8 | 8 | Shiny Copper Penny | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 15-1 | |||||
| 8.5 | 16-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Time to Travel | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8.8 | 17-1 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | Victor Again | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9.8 | 18-1 | |||||
| 10 | 19-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Omened By | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12.5 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sir Shackleton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Singer | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | French Quarter | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Mission | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3.5 | 7-1 | |||||
| 3.8 | 7-1 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | Hammers Vision | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4.8 | 9-1 | |||||
| 9 | 9 | Seventh Sense (TUR) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5.5 | 10-1 | |||||
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Jordan | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 11-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | The Truth Or Else | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7.3 | 14-1 | |||||
| 7.3 | 14-1 | |||||
| 7.8 | 15-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Grand Bili | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8.8 | 17-1 | |||||
| 8 | 8 | Aces for John | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11.3 | 21-1 | |||||
| 12.5 | 24-1 | |||||
| 12.8 | 24-1 | |||||
| 13 | 25-1 | |||||
| 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sanibel Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scheme | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grizzel (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3.3 | 6-1 | |||||
| 3.5 | 7-1 | |||||
| 9 | 9 | Taperge | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3.8 | 7-1 | |||||
| 4 | 8-1 | |||||
| 4 | 8-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Hardcandy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Mesa | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5.5 | 10-1 | |||||
| 7 | 7 | Take A Deep Breath (GB) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6.5 | 12-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Accepting | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7.3 | 14-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Kitten | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | From Ria to Riches | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8.3 | 16-1 | |||||
| 9 | 17-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Colorincolonel | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Lukes Alley | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2.8 | 5-1 | |||||
| 8 | 7 | Barraaq (GB) | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3.5 | 7-1 | |||||
| 10 | 9 | Altar Boy | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3.8 | 7-1 | |||||
| 4.5 | 9-1 | |||||
| 4.8 | 9-1 | |||||
| 12 | 12 | Indian Guide | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5.3 | 10-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Farz | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Infinite Wisdom | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | J R ‘s Holiday | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6.5 | 12-1 | |||||
| 7 | 13-1 | |||||
| 7 | 13-1 | |||||
| 3 | 2 | Silver Dagger | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Camp Courage | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ice Cutter | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10.3 | 19-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Shea D | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 10.8 | 20-1 | |||||
| 13 | 13 | Nipigon | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | With Exultation | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Honey Fox S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Summer Luck | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 1.8 | 3-1 | |||||
| 6 | 5 | Mississippi Delta | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inside Out | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Linda | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 8-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Celestine | 0.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | Josdesanimaux | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5.3 | 10-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Lori’s Store | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dad’s Princess | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6.3 | 12-1 | |||||
| 6.5 | 12-1 | |||||
| 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Gulfstream Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Summer Luck | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tequilita | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Salty | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3.3 | 6-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Jordan’s Henny | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3.5 | 7-1 | |||||
| 3.8 | 7-1 | |||||
| 7 | 6 | Nonna Bella | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5.5 | 10-1 | |||||
| 8 | 7 | Shezaprado | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 11-1 | |||||
| 6.5 | 12-1 | |||||
| 6.5 | 12-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Sorceror | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Modacious | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8.5 | 16-1 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | Spring Mist | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Cutler Bay H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Inheritthewind | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Bandit | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2.8 | 5-1 | |||||
| 2.8 | 5-1 | |||||
| 7 | 6 | Sir Sebastian | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shiraz | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3.8 | 7-1 | |||||
| 4 | 8-1 | |||||
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 5.3 | 10-1 | |||||
| 8 | 7 | Dover Cliffs | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Write in Candidate | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6.8 | 13-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Pinocchio | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 13-1 | |||||
| 10 | 8 | Major Key | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Erasmo’s Dream | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9.3 | 17-1 | |||||
| 9.5 | 18-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Gemologister | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11.3 | 21-1 | |||||
| 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Pan American S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Designed for War | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2.5 | 5-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Taghleeb | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Montclair (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 8-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | Reporting Star | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | Patterson Cross | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4.8 | 9-1 | |||||
| 5 | 9-1 | |||||
| 8 | 8 | Mr Maybe | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sadler’s Joy | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6.5 | 12-1 | |||||
| 7 | 13-1 | |||||
| 4 | 4 | Snag | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8.3 | 16-1 | |||||
| 8.3 | 16-1 | |||||
| 9 | 17-1 | |||||
| 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Xpressbet Florida Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Three Rules | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2.3 | 4-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | State of Honor | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gunnevera | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3.8 | 7-1 | |||||
| 4.3 | 8-1 | |||||
| 9 | 9 | Battalion Runner | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Impressive Edge | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 9-1 | |||||
| 4 | 4 | Always Dreaming | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5.5 | 10-1 | |||||
| 6.3 | 12-1 | |||||
| 6.3 | 12-1 | |||||
| 6.3 | 12-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Charlie the Greek | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8.3 | 16-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Talk Logistics | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coleman Rocky | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridled Holiday | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 19-1 | |||||
| 10.3 | 19-1 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | Quinientos | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11.3 | 21-1 | |||||
| 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.