April 1, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Amaze Me Grace | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Madness | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cherub | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Galilea | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inveniam Viam | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brisson | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Delve (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiyo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eva La Rouge | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lost Prado | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Come On M B | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blonde At the Bar | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tame the Belle | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mine Mine | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Bull Headed Woman | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stellar Magic | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sassy Mallory | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Appealingtone | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Belleofthebayou | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Call the Ghost | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New Orleans Ladies Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Susie Bee | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cash Control | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emerald Pond | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Selenite | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factory of Faith | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Ronin | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Prado’s Sweet Ride | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Erindelle | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dynazar | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Crescent City Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sashimi Blaster | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Rose Guitar | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Naughty Little Nun | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlightnmidnight | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Madame Begue | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What’s the Point | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Millie | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | D’wild Muffin | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Bermuda Star | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | My Gal Layla | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | E Z’s All Attitude | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Handiwork | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Sixty Five (FR) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arctic Joy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trust Factor | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ft Davis | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Wink | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Araqeel | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Six Schillings | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Rebel | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unbridled’s Issue | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Little B | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Macho Bets | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reigning Warrior | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Purgenality | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Crescent City Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Underpressure | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Imindycatbirdseat | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ida’s Warrior | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freakonthelead | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Tip Tap Tapizar | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | True Emperor | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Set Hut | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Snipe’s | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Vow | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paddy O’Lionel | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Maurice | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amp’d Up | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Rollwithit | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Evan Lee G | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Kathy’s Song | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valentine Rosie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ever Special | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Go Stellaire | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Firepit Queen | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | She’sagraciouslady | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 10 | Maximus Beauty | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Malibu Style | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Amen Sista | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trust in Diane | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Giovanna Ponti | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wholehearted | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Lipstickonmycollar | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Flutie | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pickin’ Cash | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New Orleans H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aglimpseofgabby | 50.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mo Tom | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eagle | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Noble Bird | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breaking Lucky | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | International Star | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Fist | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hawaakom | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Approval | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honorable Duty | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Muniz Memorial H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bullards Alley | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Mean Man | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Special Ops | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blarp | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Granny’s Kitten | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enterprising | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oscar Nominated | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Approval | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kasaqui (ARG) | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pumpkin Rumble | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Flight | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Fair Grounds Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Summer Luck | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Farrell | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Quality | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Queen Bernardina | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Daria’s Angel | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wicked Lick | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vexatious | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Corporate Queen | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guest Suite | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Girvin | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hotfoot | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Handsome | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patch | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sorry Erik | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monaco | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Local Hero | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senior Investment | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Costa Rising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Icy Gentleman | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jazzy Rebel | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jockamo’s Song | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hail to the Nile | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock N Sake | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Interest | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Friend Flavin | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nubin Ridge | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Hunker Down | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Afro Blue | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Just Kissing Buck | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Our Wild Dancer | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | B B Special | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Harbor Pilot | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | So Happy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Willieverwin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Mi Padre | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bandit for Time | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carmens Catcher | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Afro Blue | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drewstormin | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Biblical Strength | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Darylslittleengine | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mon Petit Pote | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Twice | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Pal Torres | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stand Him Up | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Rapidash | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Specialeyes | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honeymoon Bridge | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | First Cast | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spring Value | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | King Bandit | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Hitheredarling | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Outofthisgalaxy | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zackarooney | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 15 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Coteau Kid | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Hancock County | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Crooked as Can Be | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Lou’s Delta Blues | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Happy High Porto | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kayne’spotofgold | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Grace’s Bandit | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tough Thomas | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Private Joshua G | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Freddie One Bite | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Ide | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Shedrow Cocktails | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Fist Full | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Shyloh’s Friend | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Ten to Midnight | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.