Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for April 1, 2017

April 1, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Sis City S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
0.8 1-1
1 2-1
1.3 2-1
1 1 Familyofroses 2.50 1.3 2-1
1.5 3-1
1.8 3-1
1.8 3-1
1.8 3-1
2 4-1
2.1 4-1
2.3 4-1
2.5 5-1
6 6 Maddizaskar 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Little Miss Julia 12.00 2.8 5-1
2.8 5-1
3 6-1
3 6-1
3 6-1
3.5 7-1
3.7 7-1
5 5 Reckless Humor 3.00 3.8 7-1
3.8 7-1
3.8 7-1
3.8 7-1
4 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.4 8-1
4.4 8-1
4.5 9-1
4.5 9-1
4.5 9-1
4.7 9-1
2 2 Just Got Out 6.00 4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
5 9-1
5 9-1
5.3 10-1
5.3 10-1
5.5 10-1
3 3 Roman Reign 30.00 6 11-1
6 11-1
6 11-1
6.3 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.8 13-1
6.8 13-1
7 13-1
7 13-1
7.3 14-1
9.3 17-1
9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Stakes) – Xtra Heat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 2-1
1 1 Bow Town Cat 1.20 1 2-1
1.5 3-1
1.5 3-1
1.8 3-1
1.8 3-1
2.3 4-1
2.5 5-1
2.5 5-1
2.5 5-1
2.7 5-1
2.8 5-1
4 4 Palladian Bridge 10.00 2.8 5-1
2.8 5-1
2.8 5-1
6 6 Littlemissbusiness 5.00 3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
3.7 7-1
3.8 7-1
3.8 7-1
3.9 7-1
4 8-1
4.3 8-1
2 2 Little Bear Cat 3.50 4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
3 3 Spun Copper 15.00 4.5 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
5 9-1
5.1 10-1
5 5 Ring Knocker 4.00 5.3 10-1
5.8 11-1
5.8 11-1
5.8 11-1
6.3 12-1
6.3 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.8 13-1
6.8 13-1
7.5 14-1
7.8 15-1
7.8 15-1
8 15-1
8.3 16-1
8.3 16-1
8.3 16-1
8.3 16-1
9 17-1
9 17-1
9.3 17-1
9.8 18-1
10 19-1
10.3 19-1
10.3 19-1
11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Stakes) – Caixa Eletronica S

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 2-1
1 2-1
1.5 3-1
4 3 Alex the Terror 8.00 1.8 3-1
1.8 3-1
1.8 3-1
2 4-1
2 4-1
2.1 4-1
2.3 4-1
1 1 Foreset 4.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
2.8 5-1
2.8 5-1
3 6-1
3 2 Story to Tell 1.40 3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
2 1 Second City 12.00 3.5 7-1
3.7 7-1
3.8 7-1
3.8 7-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
5 4 Eye Luv Lulu 1.60 4.3 8-1
4.5 9-1
4.7 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.9 9-1
5.3 10-1
5.4 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
6 11-1
6 11-1
6.3 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.6 12-1
6.8 13-1
7 13-1
7 13-1
7 13-1
7.3 14-1
7.3 14-1
7.3 14-1
7.5 14-1
7.8 15-1
8 15-1
8.3 16-1
8.5 16-1
9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Stakes) – Stud Muffin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 2-1
1.3 2-1
1.5 3-1
5 5 Kick Off 4.00 1.5 3-1
1.8 3-1
2 4-1
2 4-1
2.3 4-1
2.3 4-1
2 2 Bluegrass Prevails 5.00 2.5 5-1
2.5 5-1
3 3 Do Share 1.60 2.5 5-1
2.5 5-1
2.8 5-1
2.8 5-1
3 6-1
3.3 6-1
6 6 Praetereo 3.00 3.5 7-1
3.6 7-1
3.8 7-1
4 8-1
4 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.4 8-1
4.5 9-1
4.5 9-1
4.7 9-1
4.8 9-1
4 4 Marriage Fever 15.00 5.3 10-1
5.3 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.8 11-1
1 1 Saratoga Wildcat 8.00 5.8 11-1
5.8 11-1
5.8 11-1
5.9 11-1
6 11-1
6 11-1
6 11-1
6.3 12-1
6.3 12-1
6.3 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.8 13-1
6.8 13-1
6.8 13-1
7 13-1
7.3 14-1
7.8 15-1
8.5 16-1
8.8 17-1
8.8 17-1
9 17-1
9 17-1
9.8 18-1
11 21-1
11.5 22-1
11.5 22-1
11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Stakes) – Kelly Kip S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 2-1
1 2-1
1 2-1
1.4 3-1
1.5 3-1
1.8 3-1
10 8 Roman Revival 10.00 2 4-1
2.3 4-1
2.4 5-1
2.5 5-1
2.8 5-1
7 5 Gambler’s Ghost 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 6-1
3 6-1
3.1 6-1
3 3 Chelios 20.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
9 7 Final Chapter 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 8-1
4 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.5 9-1
4.6 9-1
4.7 9-1
4.7 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
5 9-1
5 9-1
5 9-1
5.3 10-1
1 1 Formal Summation 12.00 5.3 10-1
5.3 10-1
4 3 Bass River Road 2.00 5.5 10-1
5.8 11-1
6.3 12-1
6.8 13-1
7 13-1
7 13-1
7 13-1
7 13-1
8 6 Forest Boy 30.00 7 13-1
6 6 Fullfaithandcredit 20.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
5 4 Sol the Freud 8.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Lyrical Miracle 15.00 8.5 16-1
8.8 17-1
9 17-1
9 17-1
9 17-1
10.8 20-1
11.5 22-1
13.3 25-1
13.5 26-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Karakorum Elektra S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 She’s So Fine 3.50 1.5 3-1
1.7 3-1
1.8 3-1
1.8 3-1
2 4-1
2 4-1
2.4 5-1
2.4 5-1
2.5 5-1
2.8 5-1
2.8 5-1
6 6 Wildcat Belle 12.00 3 6-1
3 6-1
3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
1 1 Tahoe Tigress 8.00 3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
4 4 La Inesperada 2.50 3.5 7-1
3.8 7-1
4 8-1
4 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.5 9-1
4.5 9-1
4.7 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
3 3 Chorus Line 2.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Mama Joyce 6.00 4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
5 9-1
5 9-1
5.3 10-1
5.3 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.7 11-1
5.8 11-1
5.8 11-1
6.3 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.8 13-1
6.8 13-1
7 13-1
7 13-1
7 13-1
7.5 14-1
7.5 14-1
7.5 14-1
7.8 15-1
8 15-1
8 15-1
8.5 16-1
8.8 17-1
8.8 17-1
8.8 17-1
9 17-1
9 17-1
9.3 17-1
9.5 18-1
9.8 18-1
10 19-1
10 19-1
10 19-1
10.5 20-1
11 21-1
12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Stakes) – Videogenic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 2-1
1.3 2-1
1.5 3-1
1.8 3-1
1.8 3-1
2 4-1
2 4-1
2 4-1
3 3 Midnight Champagne 10.00 2.3 4-1
2.7 5-1
8 8 Pretty Enuff 6.00 3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.5 7-1
2 2 Forest Pike 30.00 3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
3.8 7-1
4 8-1
4 8-1
4 4 Da Wildcat Girl 2.00 4 8-1
4.3 8-1
7 7 Spectacular Flash 8.00 4.3 8-1
4.4 8-1
4.5 9-1
4.5 9-1
4.5 9-1
4.7 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
5 9-1
1 1 Call Her Karma 2.50 5 9-1
5 9-1
5.4 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.6 11-1
5.7 11-1
5.8 11-1
5.8 11-1
5 5 Picture Day 4.00 6 11-1
6 11-1
6 11-1
6.8 13-1
6.8 13-1
6.8 13-1
6.8 13-1
7 13-1
7.3 14-1
7.3 14-1
7.3 14-1
7.3 14-1
7.5 14-1
6 6 Lady Luciano 15.00 7.8 15-1
7.8 15-1
7.8 15-1
7.8 15-1
8 15-1
8.1 15-1
8.5 16-1
8.8 17-1
9 17-1
9 17-1
9.8 18-1
10 19-1
10 19-1
10 19-1
11.3 21-1
12.5 24-1
12.8 24-1
13 25-1
15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – Mr. Sinatra S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 2-1
1 2-1
1 2-1
3 3 Hard Study 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 4-1
2.3 4-1
2.3 4-1
2.3 4-1
5 5 Fox Rules 2.00 2.5 5-1
2.8 5-1
2.9 5-1
2 2 Battery 15.00 3 6-1
3 6-1
3.1 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.4 6-1
3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
3.8 7-1
1 1 Shalako 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 8-1
4 8-1
4 8-1
4 8-1
4.3 8-1
4.5 9-1
4.5 9-1
4.7 9-1
4.8 9-1
4.8 9-1
6 6 Testosterstone 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Stormin Monarcho 2.50 5 9-1
5.3 10-1
5.3 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.7 11-1
5.8 11-1
5.9 11-1
6 11-1
6 11-1
6.3 12-1
6.3 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.5 12-1
7.3 14-1
7.3 14-1
8 15-1
8 15-1
8.3 16-1
8.3 16-1
8.3 16-1
8.5 16-1
9 17-1
10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Stakes) – More To Tell S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 River Date 5.00 1.5 3-1
1.8 3-1
1.8 3-1
1.8 3-1
1.9 4-1
2 4-1
2 4-1
2.3 4-1
2.5 5-1
8 8 Are We Not Men 6.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
2.8 5-1
3.3 6-1
3.3 6-1
3.5 7-1
3.5 7-1
3.7 7-1
3.8 7-1
3.8 7-1
9 8 Lucky Lotto 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 8-1
4 8-1
4 8-1
4.3 8-1
5 5 Battle Midway 4.00 4.3 8-1
4.5 9-1
4.5 9-1
4.5 9-1
4.8 9-1
7 7 Becker’s Galaxy 3.00 4.8 9-1
4.9 9-1
5 9-1
5 9-1
5 9-1
5.1 10-1
5.3 10-1
5.3 10-1
5.3 10-1
3 3 Instant Replay 20.00 5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.5 10-1
5.6 11-1
5.8 11-1
5.8 11-1
6.3 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.5 12-1
6.8 13-1
7 13-1
7 13-1
7.3 14-1
7.3 14-1
10 9 Shadow Rider 12.00 7.3 14-1
7.3 14-1
7.5 14-1
7.5 14-1
4 4 Erik the Red 10.00 7.8 15-1
8 15-1
8 15-1
8 15-1
2 2 Our Caravan 6.00 8 15-1
8.5 16-1
8.5 16-1
9 17-1
9 17-1
9.3 17-1
6 6 Clowney 20.00 9.8 18-1
10.3 19-1
10.5 20-1
10.5 20-1
10.8 20-1
11.3 21-1
11.5 22-1
12.5 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.