Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avoir | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Long Mayshe Reign | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jennifer’s d’Light | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Certitude (FR) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shop Till You Drop | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Rose | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Whitney | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silver N Black | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She Be Boss | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Service | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arromax | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Max | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Moments | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caught in the Dark | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiergarten | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highlands | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasingserendipity | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mama Sue | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carole Lombard | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elegant Sway | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Santarena | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arabian Flirt | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sand Bagger | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | March of Time | 0.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Mustache | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collmus | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pursuit of Freedom | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eternal Reign (IRE) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sophisticate | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Interplay | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girvin Gal | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cailin Dana | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Day Dawning | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justivar | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | How About Abby (IRE) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vanzzy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Spin | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Contrary Chieftain | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul of Midnight | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impossible Task | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Joy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom and Jazzy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Robert J. Frankel S.) – Robert J. Frankel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hang the Moon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mouffy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omaha Girl | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Astor | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mahina | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rashmi | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yerwanthere (IRE) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | McKechnie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surf Song | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scusi | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Moonlight | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maam Cross | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misleading | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cooey | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dont Fight the Fed | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Andtheomofthebrave | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lil Richards Bello | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Druidic | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brazenly | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Investalot | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kerry Gold | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big George | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moogie Son | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fly the Sky | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Last Call London | 12.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blame the Classic | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokem Ez | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.