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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Track Smart 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Alexaplayborntorun 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Drop Dead Sexy 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sumitup 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Stormy Valentine 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Ours and Theirs 4.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Follow the Saint 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flight Control 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lofty Heights 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 She’s Inthearmynow 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Tribest (ARG) 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Gogo Bobbyjo 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sister Saint 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Trouble Free 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Country Lady 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 War Tourist 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Ground Control 3.00 6 11-1
3 3 Deroutante 12.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Jus Press Star 15.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 Daddy Hey Daddy 8.00 10.2 19-1
13 13 Saved by Grace 8.00 11 21-1
14 14 Birdie Call 8.00 11.6 22-1
7 7 Grace Hazel 12.00 11.7 22-1
6 6 Kathlyns Phalanx 20.00 11.8 22-1
4 4 Back Street Baby 6.00 11.9 23-1
11 11 Hopeitsmyluckyday 12.00 13.4 25-1
2 2 In B. J.’s Honor 12.00 13.7 26-1
9 9 Ms. Cajun Queen 10.00 14.5 27-1
10 10 Sky High Susan 8.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kenmore West 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Regatta Bay 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Blame Me Seriously 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Aries Honor 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Southscape 1.80 6 11-1
6 6 Toni’s Inferno 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Transactional (GB) 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Carthage Cajun 12.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Count Dracula 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Righthere Rightnow 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Cat On Time 4.50 2.6 5-1
11 11 The Paddock Pastor 12.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Red Road 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Caroom 8.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 I’m Your Man 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Lil Bro Coop 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 El Perfecto 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Maasai Warrior 8.00 11 21-1
13 13 Impeccability 10.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Backfire 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Triple Trea 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Air Cav 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Beautiful Life 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Candy Corn 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 One Sharp Tiz 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Great Runner 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Love a Fighter 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 English Chunnel 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Finn McSorley 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Storm Ready 1.40 1.8 3-1
5 5 Jungle Law 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Hard Par 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 King Rosso 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Seaville 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 Initialize 4.50 8 15-1
2 2 Touch Of Glam (ARG) 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gypsy’s Soulmate 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Gallant Star 3.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Joey’s Game 4.50 5 9-1
5 5 Juju Nineteen 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Seehoss 4.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 J B Gray 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Swift N Traffic 8.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Mind On My Money 8.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Chief Kimosabi 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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