Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catana | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mega Mil | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Complicated | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stand the Rain | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Fascinating | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stone Cold Kelly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aleah Aleah | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betta Go Go Go | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camm’ Duke | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muazarah | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Play | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mama’s Dream | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cyber Attack | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elvis Himself | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Letter Perfect | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tomorrow’s Wish | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sounds Like Fun | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wrightsville | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Justheart | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Follow Your Arrow | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Grotte | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Midnight | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Hazel | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Challenge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Alley’s Song | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’s Cool | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patty Van Twinkle | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Status | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Arwen | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Eight Ball | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dusk | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Six | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Commerce Comet | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s in Charge | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister J T | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hatch | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | G Munning | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Tide | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Super Chief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Save Us Melania | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Class | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 5 | On Command | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Lady Mine | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Girl | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Adeliese’s Smile | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Points Is Points | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Mybronxbaby | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Girl Jal | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Wudhooh | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bay Ridge S.) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silver Skillet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stonewall Star | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sterling Silver | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweetest Princess | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Rocket | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bon Adieu | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lisa’s Vision | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Call Her Bluff | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midtown Lights | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khali Magic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cruise to Catalina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Brown Sugar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bobby Bob | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Akinmusire | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tapizar’s Temper | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run With Honor | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bernie Goes Boom | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pazz the Soy Sauce | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Spun | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Premier Cru | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Set Twirl | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nico’s Derby Run | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arcadian | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.