Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mas Rapido (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | News At Ten (GB) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Western Avenue | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oscar Joy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Commander (FR) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Player B | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money Makes Money | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into It | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Rinca | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Reflection | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baladi | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Habeas | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Glory (GB) | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madaket Road | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | San Saba | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Father Ted | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Moon | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Targaryis | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kokosan | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jumper Cables | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Slick (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Preem | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lee’s Baby Girl | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Leap | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Beehavin | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Paarl | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lila | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Calmate | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isntsheloverly | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Makenarita | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Rice Paddy | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aggro | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Whirlwind | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Paradise | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stop Digging | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nene Diamond | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barbera | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Berry Valley | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Pop | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dorie Miller | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizzy Twister | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dendera | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Maryann | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shocking Grey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sareeha (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Real Fire | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Word Play (GB) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moment’s Pleasure | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kahuraru (FR) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | September Magic | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Claypoole (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Idessia | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiaraqueen (GB) | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Control Function | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Free and Humble | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catalina Cocktail | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Laffit Pincay, Jr. S.) – Laffit Pincay, Jr. S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Katonah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tarantino | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Express Train | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ashcroft | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J B Strikes Back | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lammas (GB) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Admiral | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldeneye | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (San Gabriel S.) – San Gabriel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Johannes | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easter (FR) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seal Team (GB) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nineeleventurbo | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Astronomer | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Escape Artist | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cabo Spirit | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Malibu S.) – Malibu S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mystik Dan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bentornato | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raging Torrent | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Senior Officer | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pilot Commander | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stronghold | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imagination | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winterfell | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mathis Mile S.) – Mathis Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King of Gosford (GB) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Hot | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Siennois (IRE) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atitlan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Kaos | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Headed | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cathal (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lord Bullingdon | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call Sign Seven | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (La Brea S. Presented By Don Julio) – La Brea S. Presented By Don Julio
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hope Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Magic Philly | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Accuracy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tamara | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kinza | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cavalieri | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Fish | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kopion | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Splendora | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sandy Bottom | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate Authority | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (American Oaks) – American Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She Feels Pretty | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kathynmarissa | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Medoro | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watchtower | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rashmi | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chatalas | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strutting (GB) | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mizzyaan | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vibez | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baltic Fire | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Valence | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sakura Blossom | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Omaha Girl | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.