Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Balance of Power |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prince Praline |
30.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flatbed Ford |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tuff Luck |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Align |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Guilted |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pipi N Mimi |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Buds Island |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lucky Two Day |
10.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
Moonlit Frost |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Collection Day |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sagrada Ray |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
War Master |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brother Brad |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cap Com |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Running River |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whiskeyinthejaro |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Galatians |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Aikmans Audible |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daring Venture |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bernie the Star |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fast Talkin Man |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Winning Trip |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sabra’s Song |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Slam Notion |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Severn Run |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Junior |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Serendipitymonday |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rocket Science |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Howard And Sondra Bender Memorial S.) – Howard And Sondra Bender Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Celtic Contender |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Play Like a Raven |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brilliant Ice |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Circle P |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Seven’s Eleven |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Witty |
2.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freeze the Fire |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Politely S.) – Politely S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bourbon Bon Bay |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spencerian |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sheilahs Warcloud |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pudd’n N Pie |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Royal Whisper |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bella Bettina |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer Odds |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Talk to the Judge |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Oncourtcommentator |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
Atlas Strong |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Kissedbyanangel |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gold Digging Broad |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Malibu Moonshine |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
8 |
Dream Chaser |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Ms. Tart |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Discreet Ops |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Ruda |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
11 |
Divine Grace |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Kiss Me Hardy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Carousel S.) – Carousel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Movie Moxy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Too Many Kisses |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Evidencias (BRZ) |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Malibu Beauty |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss New York |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Saddle Up Jessie |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Call Another Play |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Regaled |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sea Dancer |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Robert T. Manfuso S.) – Robert T. Manfuso S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Speedyness |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Film Star |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Copper Tax |
1.40 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hittheroadjak |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wild Vine |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cataleya Strike |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lieutenant Brown |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hot Boss |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gottahoppertunity |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Can Do |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wall Street Magic |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fair Trade |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Estocada |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Twos the Boss |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Wine Snob |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.