Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncaptured Dove | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Ready | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncaptured Dove | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vino Frizzante | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saltwater Taffy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blackfoot Daisy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seminole Sally | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | U Ain’t That Lucky | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Valentina | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Alas Doradas | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Adriana | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Girvin Star | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | She Takes Cash | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bomb Squad | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Refugiada | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Melody | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Take Your Point | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Siljim | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Frothy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Puckered | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Palace for Mom | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anonymous Source | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lte Stark Winter | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Canny Land | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Judy Blue | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wistucky | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Senor Marcelo (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiveeyesonskystars | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fattoush | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunetta Jak | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stompin Grapes | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Into Pleasure | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tucson | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Golden Gorilla | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Sugar Swirl S.) – Sugar Swirl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Lake | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Socially Selective | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Intrepid Daydream | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Harper Rose | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Launch | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Wind | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Haulin Ice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Unrelentless | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cabernet | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dontmesswithtess | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Get Pickled | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Big Green | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drinks On Me | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khosea | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dubstep | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Streaking Grey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Beechnut Trophy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Roger | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Governing Party | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cipher | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Excite | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Due | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No More War | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Egyptian | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Walking in Memphis | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stewball | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roger Roger | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Fortune | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wakan | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior Wayne | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cyber Security | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Personal Choice | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Done Enough | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Le Beau | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Both Sides | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mama Maria | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Diamond | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Street | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Here’s the Kicker | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Janus S.) – Janus S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Arzak | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Xy Speed | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Axthelm | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coppola | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smithwick’s Spice | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes I Am Free | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whenigettoheaven | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reef Runner | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Masseto (GB) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | That’s Right | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Okiro | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Foxtrotanna | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Harlan’s Holiday S.) – Harlan’s Holiday S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocket Can | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Tumbarumba | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocket Can | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Trafalgar | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuscan Sky | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steal Sunshine | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Digital Ops | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Corinto (ARG) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vitality | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ft. Lauderdale S.) – Ft. Lauderdale S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Win for the Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Equity (FR) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Dude | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Sonata | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Siege of Boston | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Washington | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lorenz (BRZ) | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emmanuel | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Flash | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Suwannee River S.) – Suwannee River S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Breath Away (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Club | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Hostess (SAF) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bless My Stars (SAF) | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Walk | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ribaltagaia | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Be My Sunshine | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papilio (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swoonatra | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saffron Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Charlie’s Wish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.