Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starship Jambalaya | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emilyhasherturn | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bitsy Perfectmatch | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Line Ruler | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Moon | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steal Me Over | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One True Shance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carambaso | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seasonal Love | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Right Spot | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth N Silky | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American City | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grand Academic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | South Bend Tom | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reignite | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ragnow | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Coach | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raising Kane | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Breaking Alone | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prowling Tiger | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battle Scars | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Manager | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rightandjust | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Soul | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sabi | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sivako | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dapper Moon | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hawija | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gift Giver | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hesper | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Native | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Josh G | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Restore (FR) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Improbable | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Stardom | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Collect | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not Behavin | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Vince | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joejoe Go | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chases Magic | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Todo Men | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Deny It | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zadorsky | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Certified Gem | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Huntleigh | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cincy’s Anna | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silk | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midsummer March | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cora’s Legacy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Emma | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Searching Spirit | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always Practical | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Give Her Another | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manage Xpectations | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Continuance | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chell Jae | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kissin Riches | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make a Million | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tutta Bella | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Guitar Boy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mau Mau | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spectrier | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fabled Ruler | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keys Included | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Peerless | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rooster Run | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| Mau Mau | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.