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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Raise the Alarm 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sheza Hot Storm 8.00 2 4-1
9 9 Hot Golden Girl 20.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Girl Likes Bling 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Maximum Moxie 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Custom Candy 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Hopeshecanrun 5.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Run Natalie Run 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Mydealoftheday 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Long Shot Louise 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tdz Corrienda Star 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 One Line Ruler 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Iron in the Fire 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Life Is a Banquet 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Get Them Justin 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Race Driver 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Hyperbolist 2.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Mr. B Cause 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Donegal Factor 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Blue Angel 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 D’busker 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Dat’s a Goode One 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 C. F. Tinny Deal 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Vino Grace 3.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Spicy Mustard 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 A Real Embrace 15.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Orthodox Dixie 6.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Glossy Kate 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 American Smooth 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mor Big Lee 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Muffin Nuts 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Rifey 4.50 3 6-1
10 10 Doctor Leo 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Carbon Stryker 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Homeview 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 State of the Union 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Gottatakehimto 20.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Mint 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ocean Jackpot 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 A G’s Gem 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Superhero 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Houstons Eagle 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mr Liam and Alan 1.80 3.5 7-1
2 2 Call Me Rip 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Flashin Chip 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Jamian 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moon Trip 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Autumn Rob 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 All Saints 5.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Herecomestroy 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 A True Target 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Little Warrior 4.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Roulette 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 D W Strong 20.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Gold Capo 3.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Alligator Crawl 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blume 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Toms Lucky Mo 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Trips to Win 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Due We Dare 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Dixie’s Astro 5.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Astroneer 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Witchology 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Zong’s Favor 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Mo Courage 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cajun Catalina 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Moion 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Suzy Doll’s Ready 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Madelyn’s Hit 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dolly’s Guitar 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Custom Sunshine 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Miss Target 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Czar’s Ballerina 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 New Destiny 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Jersey Hottie 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Gypsyroselee 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Blessed Anna 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Courtly Doc 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Hot Patootie 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Payton’s Indian 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Distorted Math 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Three Sevens 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Cupcake Cowboy 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Red On the Head 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Muncle 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Knight’s Gold 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 B D Primary Ours 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Cajun Country 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Impressive Bidder 20.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Rip Rules 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Janet’s Brother 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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