Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Air Castle |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fine by Design |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honduras Passion |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Charlina |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
I Be Gone |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Our Special Gift |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cosmic Chic |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smoke Show Girl |
3.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Simple Dreams |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bertie’s Cause |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Donya Know It |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chip Shortage |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Opposite the Crowd |
1.20 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adiva |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clearly Creeps |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beautiful and Bold |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Cry If I Want To |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Laura Branigan |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Strabella |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Teardrop Tiara |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crystal Symphony |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Escapade |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quiero Dinero |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spite Lite |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
New Woman |
2.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gaja Ray |
3.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Curvino |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Brother Tony |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lured Away |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hired Gun |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kevin’s Strike |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Surfin’ M |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Waco |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jute Box |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Landing Craft |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Man in the Can |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Navy Seal |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Black Apple |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Summer Shoes |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bettys Cash |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Music Mistress |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Table Money |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sulwe |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heated Argument |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Patton’s Tizzy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Spring Dancer |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Modo |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Buriana |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Achieve |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Payton’s Beauty |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Avery’s Mischief |
2.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cocktail Humor |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Barbie’s Dream |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coaster |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Eternally Grateful |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hi Yah |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Trumped |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
It’s My House |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Vale |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lunar Module |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Luna |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mahoney Road |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Stop the Spread |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Musical Note |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Deviletta |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Marshside Mama |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Let’s Duet |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Contour |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
In Just My Heels |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sicilian Grandma |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
C. C. Harbor |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Legally Lucky |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dot Marie |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Indy Label |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lemon Muffin |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Runninthestreets |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lassie My Girl |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Appealing Addie |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runninthestreets |
20.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Girl in Red |
12.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
War Music |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Coincidences |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sthenic |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sunnyandseventy |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arr Piratetreasure |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Street Painter |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Timbavati |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.