Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Photo Finish | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maximo Madness | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love to Eat | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ribbonsinherhair | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Dancer | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wonder Girl | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C C Royal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ride to Remember | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mindful Angel | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Girl Lena | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kuku | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thorold Miss | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Creed | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Don’t Tell | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magic Spin | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Group Hug | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Warlock | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Mamba | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey and You | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pudge Boy Palace | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Orientate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brzina | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mattitude | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deeds of Love | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Whisper | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empress Deona | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Easy Answer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bound by Destiny | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smuggler’s Gold | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pay Billy | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alias | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Change My World | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Built by Khozan | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Farooq | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiny Lake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mindtap | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 1 | Mindtap | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No One to Blame | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Your Analysis | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Manor House | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Get Set | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Chief | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Union Fleet | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Goodbye Note | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Curlin’s Malibu | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Mule | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Just Call Ray | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Full Irish | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cattivo Ragazzo | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | S S Sinatra | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Heavens | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King’s River | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Mitch | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Curlin Gunner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Treasure | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Return Fire | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Portis | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vilaluz | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Master Munnings | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.