Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wrong Turn Cupid | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Respect the Crown | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Prospect | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen of the Track | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Kid | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grazen Sun | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paul Vincents Poem | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Que Sera Sir Ralph | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Debt Monger | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Compare | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Way | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Excel Calculator | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Unions | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Gold | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Resemblance | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Amy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Gal | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Que Bella Luna | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Runner | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A. P’s Lucky Charm | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Devil Be Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Geezer | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baladi | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Took Charge | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chick’s Dig It | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Tears | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Upward Mobility | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Windribbon | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Box | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Man Bags | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack Sixpack | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Enticing | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ur in Trouble | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misty Muppet | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Discrepancy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sabres | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talent for Gold | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Falabella | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Summer | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itzel | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kitty Kitana (GB) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Giselle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liberal Lady | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Over Attracted | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.