Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J Z’s First | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Run | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lily’s Creed | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madam Henny | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coinmaker | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond the Hype | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Distinctive | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Nannette No | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jerry’s Eighty | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Q | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onasa | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mesa Spirit | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | India Ink | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Roses | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sailing Solo | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Star | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ski Patrol | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Niles Channel | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Z Z’s Prince | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Bariley | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Trick | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Bro Coop | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Path to Success | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haleys Sailor | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spectrier | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Nobrag Justfact | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Keys Included | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smart N Intuitive | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mark the Moose | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glenn’s Jumper | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bling’s Bellwether | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Design | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischief’s Machine | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risky Boy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time to Meddle | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B W P Spirit | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Funny Lady | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Demanding | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Shot | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Always Practical | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tempting Eve | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Make a Million | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Mary | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Escovedo | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tanti Auguri | 3.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Give Her Another | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gin Run | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Continuance | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kissin Riches | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Chell Jae | 20.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Don’t Blink | 3.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Mezcal Mule | 3.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Magic City Classic S.) – Magic City Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bobby Jr. | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Channelfortynine | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unaffiliated | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dromas | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jovie G | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Brad | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Liken It | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aoide | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simplicated | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wabash | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moor to Conquer | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| Uncle Brad | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ship Cadet | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mark of the Z | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Know How | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talons Time | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gilded Ruler | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swift as I Am | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Linzer | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Beat Brian | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Power | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Acknowledge | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blondate | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | M L Brody’s Gem | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Same Play | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gabbys Bling | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uninspired | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rexinator | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Thief | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jacque Couteau | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.