Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millie Jean | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Millie Jean | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Looks First | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Political Spin | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That’sthefactjack | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Angel | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Exotic Cat | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eddies Rocket | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sherman’s Marlin | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Reya | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Principe d’Oro | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Striking Sparks | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Principe d’Oro | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frizzante | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cumberland Blues | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J J’s Joker | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Life and Light | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Modern Era | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Floki’s Flight | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Irish Exit | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runnin’ Ray | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Midnight | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Trouble | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Giroovin | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Brew Pub | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Get Set | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stronsino | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Dark Devil | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exploration | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Always Be Smart | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sardis | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luca On Point | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ignite the Light | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dialbolico | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sounds Like Fun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Light | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Linda’s Jewel | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dynamitendiamonds | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vague | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luckforyou | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paraiba Blue | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aerialist | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quoin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | R Special | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | That’s Money | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beary Funny | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thank You Jon | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Cay | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Moonracer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Gray Leonard | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dads Good Runner | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whenlovetakesover | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Badlands Ruler | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Calling an Audible | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Mission | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Splashy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catchphrase | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monetary Monarch | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Khali’s Storm | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Gorgeous | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Runner | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Romance | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mulkey | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banyan Breeze | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 5 | Banyan Breeze | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Jake Rocks | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Uncle George | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Jemography | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Union Lights | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Air Show | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Golden Arm | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Always Charming | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dreampoint | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Honorary Degree | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Striker Has Dial | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | She’s a Tempest | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Caldwell Luvs Gold | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Save Us Melania | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reliable Lady | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Awesome Czech | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Girl Jal | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | All Class | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honey in the Bank | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Frankie Hiccups | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honey in the Bank | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Endless Vow | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mischievous Trick | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Toxic Girl | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backwater | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pocket Queens | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Professor Grace | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broken Zipper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shake On It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Light Thoughts | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Puttin in the Work | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.