Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Smackdown | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Never Over Me | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clearwater Sunset | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carols Kitten | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Macho | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Last Thing | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duanes Sonney Boy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billie Baby | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Even Terms | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Texan Farmer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | By Request | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gospel Tiz Got | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Words | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | See You Later Bebe | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maddie’s Maverick | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sure Thing Samurai | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nachiko | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Momma Myles | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desired Fantasies | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Devil Darling | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Artistic Vision | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mariah’s Candy | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Baby | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mamashavnahotflash | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blueberry Eyes | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaparrita | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iuka Miss | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | I Am Grodd | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code Eleven | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moro Trendsetter | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khan Run | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | What About Jimmy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bigtimeinthecity | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reveille Valley | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nada Yada Yada | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Pursuit | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Pierre | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Prairie Gal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Lottie | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Back in Charge | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Doo Dah Day | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anna Up | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Auto Be a Star | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Expression | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beautiful Judge | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misty Mood | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Seattle Wildcat | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gospel Freely | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Domina | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kooky | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Running Commentary | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kooky | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Boom | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shesacinch | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shopping Accident | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slug Bug | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ilikeher | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sheri’s Prada | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | La Camelia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lookatchu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Line | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Eagle | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Day | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bradix | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Biz | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Takela | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Washita Outlaw | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matagora Bay | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Little Blaze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Angel Kiss | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dulcia | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Town Sis | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wec Keah | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reason Over Riches | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gypsy Rose | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sexy Brown | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | When Judy Calls | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shawk’s Lil Mia | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seriously Outahere | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | From the Heart | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fireball Birdie | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Too Much Action | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sara’s Shaman | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Onthestage | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu S S | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willy D’s | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mena | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wish Man | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inca Empire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Big Commerce | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.