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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Makia 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Cerchi 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sainte Chapelle 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Vino for the Queen 4.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Mathurine 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Darling Luna 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Bam Bam 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 I Love Ireland 30.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Camdyn Race 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 It’s Only Words 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Splurge 10.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Lightning Dust 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Patty’s Having Fun 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Defended 2.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Cajun Anthem 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 War Commander 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Renege 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Mully’s Moon 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Sponge Time 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Amor Gitano 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 River of Time 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Romero 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Solo Me 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 She’s So Sexy 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Evanora 1.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 Musthavebeenlove 8.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Euphima (ARG) 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Jayana 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Princess Blakely 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Our Fortune Cookie 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Call Me Penny 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ever Dangerous 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Treasure King 2.50 2.4 5-1
12 12 Light Fury 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Maxwell Esquire 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Sociallongdistance 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mailman Money 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 McMoney 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Rock the Stars 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Our Country 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Barry the Builder 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Matta 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Be Here 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Parallel 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rachels Song 1.60 1.1 2-1
7 7 Southern Palace 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Wow Lucky 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Ashima 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Emirates Affair 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Avatal Hero 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Smokin Bow 0 0-1
Smokin Bow 0 0-1
9 9 Austonian 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Smokin Bow 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Amazing Woo 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Line Astray 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Orb Alpha 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Performante 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Sixteen Cigarettes 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Antillean 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Allegrini 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Youramystyle 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Venezuela Is Gold 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ghostly Rose 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Torch Is Passed 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Possum 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sweet Cha Cha 30.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Dios Will 3.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Makoa 5.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Spice Bag 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sheshimaintenance 0 0-1
10 10 Designer Bag 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Zaza J 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lady River Lily 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Campaign Secret 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 La Cyber 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sheshimaintenance 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Souper Amusing 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 City Taah 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Golden Valley 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Lindsay Smiles 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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