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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ann’s Storm 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Fitts N Starts 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Averi Ever After 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Realitos 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Imma Madi Tue 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Our Little Girl 4.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 I Dont Know Either 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shawn’s Solving 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Flat Out Runner 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Harpes Hill 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Maladjusted Misfit 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Top Priority 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Stone Alliance 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Older and Wiser 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 De’ Ans Eighty 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Sally’s Suprise 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Glamorous Life 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Splenda Gail 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Bayshore Foxes 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Simona’s Choice 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lucky Gem 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gloryland 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Candy Girl Miss 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Wickedrevolution 15.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Perfect Dixie Lady 8.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 At First Light 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 A Wicked Number 6.00 10 19-1
5 5 Elsie No Nack 6.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Buckskin Suzie 8.00 10.6 20-1
10 10 Becky’sgottahaveit 8.00 10.7 20-1
4 4 Tittle 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kaely’s Sister 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Viola 4.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Rue Lala 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Flatter Me Silly 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sassi Strutter 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Faccia Bella 3.50 5.7 11-1
7 7 Tu Cha 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Flintlock 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Golden Bonita 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Little Bit O Storm 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Madame Markievicz 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 She’s Single Again 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Coeur Rouge 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Twenty Four Grand 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Cruzin Van Nuys 8.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Candybelle 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Leametatrainer 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Where’s the Wine 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Classic Claire 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Ms. Lilibet 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Sharp Flame 4.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Spin the Breeze 12.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Super Stormy 10.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Beads 8.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Mairsils First 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Miss Harmonic 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Benji Star 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mysterious Spirit 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 City of Love 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Take Charge J J 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Racy Bille 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Causeway Benny 3.50 6 11-1
8 8 Gem Buoy 6.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Avery’s Gem 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Social Code 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fine Finish 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Pondering 2.50 4 7-1
6 6 Watering 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Swan House 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Gotanothathingcomn 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dr Speck 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cat County 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Lost My Bag 4.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Taurean 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Daddy’s Code 12.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Caughtupndamoment 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Deal of Faith 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Computerized 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Forest Beast 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Involvednteraction 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 The Fact Is 20.00 5.8 11-1
Involvednteraction 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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