Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Bread to Run |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bourbon Spirit |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wild Bert |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ghent |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bubba’s Reckless |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Slither |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alleva |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crankshaft |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rusty’s Sunrise |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lord Harmony |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
That Is Awesome |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Megans Millions |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sara’s Sapphire |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cherry Star |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Royal Princess |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Special Feature |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cupie Cutie |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Secret Tee |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glorious Gears |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shelbi’s Star |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gypsy’s Ride |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Mo Tom |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Relic Hunter |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Reginald Aurelius |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Empire Kid |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Apriority Avenger |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Triple Red Aces |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Family Creed |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Butch Womble |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kit Kat Kidd |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
7 |
7 |
G E H Giants Way |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
H V Xtra Wild Heat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Mud On My Boots |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Trabr’s Creed |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sarah’s Vision |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Guitar Doctor |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pacificislandtime |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bayou Jam |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joey’s Lightening |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fiesty Fist |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bisping |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Yakety Yak |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vobiscum |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hay Diddle Diddle |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bobby Merlot |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Watch the Coast |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Out Making Treble |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rocky Boy |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wicked Tough |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Uncashed |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Old Homestead |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lagoon |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Strong Promise |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Doublediamond Deal |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Fire |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Chief Brady |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
My Uncle Leon |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Touchdown Joe |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Moro Mafia |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jazzy Justin |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Motawaafeq |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sadie’s Light |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stiff Drink |
2.50 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
All Together |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.