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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mobe Town 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Smarty Nose 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Dr Low Key 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Big Cheddar 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Naughty Niko 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 San Jac 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Instinct D’ Oro 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Teddy’s Triumph 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Mr. Dreamcycle 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Always On Cay 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Gostoso 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Letshaveonemore 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 New King 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Extensive 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Taif 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Eagles Dare 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Travail 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Imagineer 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Jewelofakid 0 0-1
3 3 Champagne Camie 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Gypsy Lynn 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tiergarten 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Woodbine Way 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Chollima 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Jewelofakid 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Perfect in Gray 6.00 1 2-1
2 1 Tequila Talkin 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 8 Ocasek 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Vorpal 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Beer Money 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Constant Conflict 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 New York Dreams (GB) 6.00 6 11-1
6 5 Big Splash 15.00 6 11-1
10 9 Spiritist 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 98 Damazio 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pax a Punch 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Problem Solver 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Sir Nano 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Valentines Candy 2.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Falcon Wings 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Last Vintage 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Master Jacques 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Oveta’s Hobby 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Montage Blue 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Ready to Dare 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Can’tdealwithit 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Rice Paddy 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Robin With a Why 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Devil Among Us 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Black Beards Ghost 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Please Focus 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Don’t Hit Me Bash 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Joe Don Looney 8.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Mio Bambino 8.00 8 15-1
9 9 Forgiving Spirit 8.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Square Cat 10.00 9 17-1
12 12 Irish Royalty 4.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Good Vibes Only 20.00 10.1 19-1
5 5 Shady Appeal 15.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Squalotoro 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Soviet Problem S.) – Soviet Problem S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 In the Air Tonight 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cioppina Pasadina 30.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Musical Number 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 How About Pavel 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Tequilaandtherapy 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Grateful My Love 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Hey Jessie 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Chilly Philly 10.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Z’s Wardrobe 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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