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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Findaway 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Global Pride 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Manny’s Kat 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Mr. Commander 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Great Runner 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Backfire 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sharper Gal 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Im Singled Up 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Esme 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Spectacular Force 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Gold Plus 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Cabo Cowgirl 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Aztec Empress 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Petcoff 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cafe Racer 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Flame Rock Fire 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Thunder Appeal 2.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Steamroller 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 U Rascal U 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Bruhn 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Good Lord 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Toscano 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Saint Peter’s Bay 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Concentration 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Last Attack 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Gambe Forte 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Courageous Cupid 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Air Cav 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Emily’s Boy 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Navarrian 3.50 2.1 4-1
10 10 Ice’m Up Boys 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Mo Can Do 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Misterholyroller 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Chaste One 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Star Star Star 4.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Aries Honor 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Regatta Bay 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Who Is Chief 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Starship Jambalaya 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Juniors Joanie 8.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Guitar Woman 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Pink Lady Lu Sha 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Prize Debate 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 One Line Ruler 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Problematica 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 The Calling Stone 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Country Belle 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cairo Dream 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Toasted Roll 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Kick a Rhyme (IRE) 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Notable Queen 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Fleet Frost 8.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Obstreperous 4.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Classic Performer 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Garnet and Gold 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Notice Me Too 5.00 7 13-1
9 9 Tensas Lucy 12.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Cloey Attack 10.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 The Great Maybe 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Rubia 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dubaian Money 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Mardi Gras Mambo 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Rayden and Remi 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Maximum Grace 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Coattails 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Big Marv 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Final Half 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Randy Daytona 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Hint of Faith 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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