Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hay Evabody | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love You More | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ramify | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Market | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Sherrona | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Than Grace | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Willful Desire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie the Joker | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Linda | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Connection | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Everlys Girl | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Funny Bizness | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gringotts | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Sammy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papa’s Nico Boy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bernie Goes Boom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Run of the House | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Connection | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Regal Alliance | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vamonos Vamonos | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Damorninggrouch | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Enfuega | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Short Shift | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dashing Della | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Challenge | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dat Dares Right | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alley’s Song | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenzan Day | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Valenzan Day | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Montebello | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scaramanga | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Beachwalker | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Higher Quality | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Banker | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khafre | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Pipes and Drums | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kolomio | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zapruder | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Central | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Larry | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rohan | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supreme Being | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rcaptivating | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Enigmatic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Street View | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Balenciaga Betty | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Focus Pocus | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Vita Sofia | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Jean | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duckphat | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Garland Of Roses S.) – Garland Of Roses S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Pleasure | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kant Hurry Love | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cara’s Time | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Broke | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Evening | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captainsdaughter | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St. Benedicts Prep | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ellen Jay | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Askingforafriend | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Vekinda | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joker On Fire | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Free Dance | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Valiant | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sand Devil | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pazz the Soy Sauce | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dead Aim | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Askingforafriend | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Frens | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.