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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Miss Makeithappen 0 0-1
1 1 Clearly Bella 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 La Palabra 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bet Towinit 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Platinumus Maximus 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Shamay 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Sassi Idol 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Deal With It 3.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Boston Elle 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Miss Makeithappen 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Duck’s Money 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fabs 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Crystal d’Oro 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Nomadic Pride 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Tituba 1.60 3.9 7-1
6 6 Alliaceous 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Miss Darlene 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s a Bandit 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 She’s Magnificent 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Neon Moonlight 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Deal Breaking Dame 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Incognito Burrito 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Jazzy Gal 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 This Gray Mischiev 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Wings of a Sparrow 6.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Tdz Dancinlilslew 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Cajun Cattitude 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Art Queen 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Longleggedlaverne 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Carpe Horseshoe 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Reina Del Sur 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Girl Thirsty 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Faded Memories 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Chrome Racer 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Aurora Australis 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Giant Tude 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Coushatta Cutie 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Stand by Time 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mid West Fun 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Real Deal Ryan 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Field of Lights 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Long Shot Louise 6.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Costa Lady 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Charming Kat 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Gypsy Jackpot 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Holiday Double 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crimson Storm 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mor Big Lee 3.50 1.2 2-1
10 10 Elusive d’Oro 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Honor My Speed 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Big Rojo 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Broadway Pete 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Get Witt Gone 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Peanut N Ike 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Easy Big Boy 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Tappin Fora Dance 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Charco 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Call My Banker 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Reckless Ransom 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Fahan 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Arkansas Zong 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Flashy Lover 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Lucky Promise 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hardly Able 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sharp Charlie 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Flower Cat 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Adieu Aces 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Magic Castle 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Alterana 8.00 5 10-1
9 9 Copter 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Huey Duey 8.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Wise Anchor 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Scooteranddabigman 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hard Candy Kisses 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Mallory’s Ocean 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Deal Pickle 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sweet Thirteen 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 La Lombriz 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 She’s the Sheriff 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Vincent’s Gem 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Nanny’s Houdini 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cowgirl Queen 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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