Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zippy Gamble | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reload Eh | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gretna Green | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Medusa’s Gold | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoodless | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Be First | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Butter Sage | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Froginapond | 0.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McKenzie Road | 0.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Mitole | 0.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daisycrest | 0.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six for a Nine | 0.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vrana (IRE) | 0.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bachelor Pad | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Walter Me Lad | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Long Pond | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truebelieve | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Scout | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stylish Gent | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canyouhearmerunnin | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Treason | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rookie Court | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War’s End Kiss | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Queenie | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hyper Awakening | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ladies Rum | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday in Jail | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Neenah | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salt | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | As Catch Can | 0.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Izzy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Passions | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peace Posey | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lillz Hope | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moet Monet | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shameless Affair | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Porshas Run | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sigiriya | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Butterfly | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bravo Kate | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamon Bits | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Modie | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoning Order | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Patsy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Save the Date | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Avoman | 0.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kiddie Holiday | 0.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | U S Army Corps | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Elvis | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frank’s Art | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anselmo | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Whisper | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Confusing | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Six for a Nine | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Port Renfrew | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet City Doll | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Houlihan | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On Paradise Hill | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olivia’s Melody | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Hell of a Girl | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoning Order | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cinnamon Bits | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Modie | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Gizmo | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bravo Kate | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Save the Date | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Patsy | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kiddie Holiday | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avoman | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anselmo | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U S Army Corps | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hell Bent | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Elvis | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salt | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Izzy | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | As Catch Can | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peace Posey | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neenah | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Passions | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Sky | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Froginapond | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vrana (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Mitole | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daisycrest | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scotty’s Love Chil | 0.00 | 13 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zipfire | 0.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Hell of a Girl | 0.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Claramente | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Houlihan | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Almasty | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet City Doll | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Almasty’s Lust | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Absolutelystunning | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | McKenzie Road | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.